This Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 prediction for UFC 303 is brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from UFC odds to wrestling and everything in between.
The Ultimate Fighting Championship is back in Las Vegas this weekend for UFC 303. The upcoming pay-per-view card is loaded, featuring a massive main event that will see Alex Pereira put the UFC Light Heavyweight title on the line against Jiri Prochazka.
Conor McGregor and Michael Chandler were originally supposed to headline this weekend’s PPV, but that fight was scrapped due to McGregor dealing with a foot injury. Instead, Pereira and Prochazka will go to war in their second five-round showdown in less than a year, leaving time to tell who’ll emerge victorious this time.
Let’s not delay and immediately delve into this preview of UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2, where we’ll make some predictions and highlight the fight’s top bets.
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Betting Odds
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, June 26 at 10:07 a.m. ET.
Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Moneyline
- Alex Pereira (-125)
- Jiri Prochazka (+105)
Will Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Go the Distance?
- Yes (+375)
- No (-550)
Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Round Total
- Over 1.5 Rounds (-150)
- Under 1.5 Rounds (+120)
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Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Tale of the Tape
Alex Pereira (c) — Jiri Prochazka
- Record: 10-2 — 30-4-1
- Height: 6’4” — 6’3”
- Reach: 79” — 80”
- Weight: 205 lbs — 205 lbs
- Age: 36 — 31
- Fighting Stance: Orthodox — Orthodox
- Knockouts: 8 — 26
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UFC 303: Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Fight Preview
Saturday’s main event is shaping up to be a close-fought bought if the oddsmakers are to be believed. While Alex Pereira is currently BetOnline’s -125 favorite to retain the light heavyweight gold, those odds carry an implied win probability of just 55.6%.
Pereira has had an impressive start to his UFC career, boasting a 7-1 record with the company. After reigning supreme in the middleweight division and snagging its highest honor, the Brazilian seasoned fighter stepped into the light heavyweight category against Jan Blachowicz at UFC 291. Pereira emerged victorious over Blachowicz by a split-decision win, and shortly after, less than four months, he faced off against Jiri Prochazka.
The UFC 295 encounter between the two fighters was brief. Pereira surprised Prochazka with a remarkable jab towards the end of the second round, then took him down with a sequence of elbows, winning the UFC Light Heavyweight title and ‘performance of the night’ honors in the process.
Pereira has since successfully defended once, knocking out Jamahal Hill at UFC 300 even before the end of Round 1.
Simultaneously, we cannot behave as though Prochazka is a nobody.
Prochazka began his UFC career in July 2020 after amassing a 26-3-1 record in the Czech Republic and Japan. He started off strong with consecutive KO wins over Volkan Oezdemir and Dominick Reyes, which led to a light heavyweight title opportunity against Glover Texeira at UFC 275. The fight appeared to be heading for a full-distance bout, but Prochazka secured victory in the final round’s last moments with a rear-naked choke.
Yes, the 31-year-old has indeed suffered a loss to Pereira previously, but managed to rebound effectively. Prochazka also showcased his skills at UFC 300 where he secured a second-round TKO win against Aleksandar Rakic, earning the accolade of the night’s best performer.
In terms of statistics, Pereira has an average of 5.1 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 62%. On the other hand, Prochazka delivers 5.8 strikes per minute at an accuracy of 56%. However, Prochazka also receives nearly two more hits per minute compared to the champion and has a notably inferior strike defense, with a rate of 41% compared to the champion’s 50%.
Both men are competent grapplers. However, Pereira boasts a takedown accuracy of 100% and a defense of 70%, compared to Prochazka’s rates of 60% and 68% respectively.
It’s also important to mention that Pereira has a flawless 5-0 record as the favorite in UFC, while Prochazka has a 1-1 record when positioned as the underdog.
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UFC 303: Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Prop Bet Odds & Betting Trends
As usual, BetOnline offers a variety of prop bets for Pereira vs. Prochazka 2, which provide further insights into the potential outcome of the fight.
To begin with, oddsmakers are not predicting a long fight. They have set the total to only 1.5 rounds, and BetOnline also has odds of -550 favoring the match not going the full distance. This isn’t surprising, however, considering that out of these fighters’ 47 combined matches, 43 have ended in some sort of decisive result.
Considering this, it’s understandable that Pereira is the favored victor with odds of -120 to win by knockout (KO) or technical knockout (TKO). Out of his 10 career wins, eight were knockouts, including four in his last six matches.
If there’s a surprise victory this weekend, it’s highly probable that Prochazka will win by knockout or technical knockout (+210). This isn’t unusual. The Czech powerhouse already has 26 knockout wins under his belt, with 11 of them resulting from his last 13 matches.
If Pereira wins by KO/TKO, it’s highly probable that he’ll achieve this in Round 1 (+295). Out of his eight career victories via knockout, four of them happened in the first round.
On the other hand, Prochazka has odds of +650 to win by a knockout in the first round – a feat he has accomplished 21 times in his 12-year career.
UFC 303: Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Predictions & Best Bet
After handling Prochazka the first time, I recommend taking Pereira to retain at UFC 303. It’s going to be a close bout, but I see the champion successfully keeping his distance from the challenger before eventually putting him down for the count.
With how these combatants are known to brawl, I predict that Pereira will win via KO/TKO. Having said that, if you aren’t feeling as confident as I am, there’s nothing wrong with a straight-up bet given that his moneyline odds (-125) still hold solid value.
Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Prediction: Alex Pereira wins
Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Bet: Pereira via KO/TKO (-120) or outright (-125)
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UFC 303: Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Information & FAQ
When is UFC 303?
- The UFC 303 event is scheduled for Saturday, June 29, 2024.
Where is UFC 303?
- UFC 303 is broadcasted live from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.
What time does UFC 303 start?
- UFC 303 Early Prelims Start Time: 6 p.m. ET
- UFC 303 Preliminary Card Start Time: 8 p.m. ET
- UFC 303 Main Card Start Time: 10 p.m. ET
How to Watch UFC 303
- UFC 303 Early Prelims Channel: ESPN+, ESPN
- UFC 303 Preliminary Card Channel: ESPN+, PPV
- UFC 303 Main Card Channel: ESPN+, PPV
How to Bet on UFC 303
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