Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Game 4 Predictions & Best Bets

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After the Boston Celtics punched their NBA Finals ticket yesterday, the Dallas Mavericks have the opportunity to do the same when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves for Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals on Tuesday.

Game 3 ✅@ModeloUSA // #OneForDallas #MFFL pic.twitter.com/O2KVMv7QSw
— Dallas Mavericks (@dallasmavs) May 27, 2024

The Mavericks seized a 3-0 lead over the Timberwolves with a 116-107 win in Game 3. Minnesota was left helpless against the formidable pair of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, who each scored 33 points, along with a combined contribution of 10 rebounds, nine assists, and six steals.

Can Minnesota manage to remain in contention, or will Dallas secure another win to advance to the championship round?

Tonight is Game 4 between the Timberwolves and the Mavericks. All the essential information—from expert predictions to the best NBA bets—is provided below.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Betting Tonight (5/28)

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game 4 Information

Matchup: No. 3 Minnesota Timberwolves vs. No. 5 Dallas Mavericks (DAL leads 3-0)
Venue & Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)
Date: Tuesday, May 28, 2024
Game Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
How to Watch Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Game 4: TNT

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves NBA Game 4 Betting Odds & Spread

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves NBA odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Tuesday, May 28 at 10:53 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Spread

Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5 (-110)
Dallas Mavericks -1.5 (-110)

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Over/Under

Over 210.5 Points (-110)
Under 210.5 Points (-110)

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Moneyline

Minnesota Timberwolves (+102)
Dallas Mavericks (-122)

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Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Betting Trends

In its last eight games, Minnesota has a straight up record of 2-6.
In its last 15 games, Dallas has a straight up record of 12-3.
In its last six games against Dallas, Minnesota has a 1-5 record against the spread (ATS).
Dallas has a 6-2 record against the spread in its most recent eight games.
The Over was hit in six of Minnesota’s last eight games.
The Under was hit in five of Dallas’ last six Tuesday games.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game 4 Predictions & NBA Picks Today (5/28)

The Western Conference Finals have not gone as the Timberwolves anticipated, finding themselves down 3-0 tonight. Although Minnesota has managed to keep the games fairly competitive, they have consistently been outperformed by Dallas, with an average deficit of 4.3 points per game so far.

The Mavericks’ ability to advance tonight is largely due to their successful containment of the Timberwolves’ top players. They have managed to limit Anthony Edwards to an average of 22.0 points per game, with shooting splits of .386/.333/.833. Karl-Anthony Towns is only managing an average of 15.0 points, with a mere 27.8% shooting from the field and 13.6% from beyond the arc. Even Rudy Gobert has been held to an average of just 7.7 rebounds per game.

At the same time, the Mavericks’ leading players are performing exceptionally. Both Doncic, with averages of 32.7 points, 7.7 rebounds, and 8.7 assists, and Irving, averaging 27.7 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 4.7 assists, are consistently effective and have shown remarkable efficiency in the series. Without their steady performances, Dallas would probably be in a dire situation.

The Timberwolves need the likes of Anthony Edwards to step up if they want to keep their postseason hopes alive.

It should be noted that the Timberwolves’ basketball performance has been quite inconsistent recently. Even though they have reached the Western Conference Finals, Minnesota has suffered six losses in their last eight games, starting from the second round.

I cannot overlook the fact that the T-wolves have a 2-6 against the spread (ATS) record in their recent matches. It’s even more concerning that they have a 1-5 ATS record in their last six encounters with the Mavericks. The Mavericks, on the other hand, have managed to cover the spread in four out of their last six games.

Furthermore, the Mavs have a 7-2 straight-up record in their last nine home games against the Timberwolves. Notably, all but one of these wins were by more than one possession.

Having said that, we’re taking Dallas to win tonight. The Mavericks have found a way to show up every night, whereas the Timberwolves are barely getting anything out of their top players. It’s clear that the Mavs’ postseason experience is paying off at this point, so look for that trend to continue.

I’m also going to back the Mavericks to cover the spread considering that winning by two-plus points isn’t that big of an ask.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Game 4 Prediction: DAL wins

Best Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Bet: DAL -1.5 (-110)

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Best Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Game 4 Prop Bet (5/28)

With how this series has gone thus far, I have no reason not to take Luka Doncic o30.5 points (-124) for the best Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game 4 prop.

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Lately, Doncic has been performing at his usual high standard, with an average of 31.6 points in his last five games, split between .500/.449/.882. In four of those games, the Slovenian superstar exceeded tonight’s total, including in each of the first three games of this series. He has, in fact, surpassed the total in six successive games against the T-wolves.

Given that he’s not showing any signs of slowing down, it’s evident that you wouldn’t want to miss this Doncic-based prop.

Best Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game 4 Prop Bet: Luka Doncic o30.5 Total Points (-124)

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Mavericks vs Timberwolves Series Schedule

Game 1: @ Target Center — Wednesday, May 22 at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT)
Game 2: @ Target Center — Friday, May 24 at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT)
Game 3: @ American Airlines Center — Sunday, May 26 at 8 p.m. ET (TNT)
Game 4: @ American Airlines Center — Tuesday, May 28 at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT)
Game 5: @ Target Center — Thursday, May 30 at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT)
Game 6: @ American Airlines Center — Saturday, June 1 at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT)
Game 7: @ Target Center — Monday, June 3 at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT)

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