Nationals vs Mets MLB Predictions, Odds, Total & Best Bets (7/11)

Today’s Nationals vs. Mets MLB predictions and best bets are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from MLB odds to the NBA and everything in between.

The New York Mets (46-45) are aiming for a sweep against the Washington Nationals (42-51) in a clash at Citi Field on Thursday, scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET.

Yesterday’s 6-2 victory over the Nationals gave the Mets a strong 2-0 lead in the series. Four different Mets made multiple hits, including Jose Iglesias. He achieved a 3-for-4 at the plate and drove in two runs.

Can Washington conclude the series on a positive note? Or is New York fated to complete the home sweep?

We don’t have much time to spare before the game starts, so let’s dive into my MLB predictions and best bets for the Nationals vs. Mets.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 51-57-1 (47.2%)

MLB Betting Today: Nationals vs Mets (7/11)

Nationals vs Mets Game Information

Matchup: Washington Nationals (42-51, 22-27 Away) vs. New York Mets (46-45, 23-25 Home)
Venue & Location: Citi Field (Queens, NY)
Date: Thursday, July 11, 2024
Game Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
How to Watch Nationals vs. Mets: MLB.TV, Fubo, SNY

Nationals vs Mets MLB Probable Pitchers

Nationals: MacKenzie Gore (18 starts — 6-7, 3.83 ERA)
Mets: David Peterson (7 starts — 3-0, 3.58 ERA)

Mets vs Nationals MLB Odds & Spread

Mets vs. Nationals MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Thursday, July 11 at 9:50 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Nationals vs Mets Run Line

Washington Nationals +1.5 (-165)
New York Mets -1.5 (+145)

Mets vs Nationals Over/Under

Over 8.5 Runs (-116)
Under 8.5 Runs (-104)

Nationals vs Mets Moneyline

Washington Nationals (+124)
New York Mets (-135)

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Nationals vs Mets MLB Betting Trends

In its last seven road games, Washington has a straight up record of 1-6.
In their last 18 games against the NL, the Mets have a straight up record of 13-5.
The Over hit in four of Washington’s last six games.
The Over was hit in seven out of the last eight home games of the Mets.
In four of the last seven matchups between the Nationals and the Mets, the total score exceeded the Over.

Nationals vs Mets Predictions & MLB Picks Today (7/11)

It’s fairly certain that this series has been dominated by one team so far. The Mets have overpowered the Nationals in the first two games, with a total score of 13-7 and accumulating 23 hits compared to the latter’s 11.

The main problem with the Nationals is that they haven’t yet played a full, complete game. They didn’t score until the eighth inning on Tuesday and last night, they didn’t score any runs from the fifth inning onwards. This level of performance simply won’t be good enough when playing against the Mets, a team that’s been one of the most successful in MLB since the start of June.

The Nationals are not in the same position, as they are currently at the base of the Majors with a winning percentage of just 25.0% since June 24. To add to their woes, they enter tonight’s match carrying a four-game losing streak, where they have lost by an average of 4.3 runs per game.

Not to mention that the Nats have lost six out of their last seven away games, while on the other hand, the Mets have an 11-2 SU record in their last 13 home games.

The Mets have been red-hot at Citi Field throughout the last several weeks.

However, it’s not that surprising to see Washington struggling in Queens. The Nationals have found Citi Field to be a tough place to play, having lost six of their last seven away games against the Mets.

As the Mets aim to finish their sweep this afternoon, they’re bringing in David Peterson. The 28-year-old southpaw only seems to improve with each 2024 start – holding a 1-0 record and a 3.00 ERA across his last four starts, with 21 strikeouts in equal innings. It’s also worth noting his impressive track record against Washington – with a 4-1 record and a 3.44 ERA from 11 career encounters, including eight as a starting pitcher.

The Nationals are now relying on MacKenzie Gore. Despite the 2017 first-rounder having a generally solid performance this year, his recent inconsistency is notable, underscored by a 7.07 ERA in his past three starts. It’s also concerning that he hasn’t claimed a win since June 14.

Nationals LHP MacKenzie Gore must break out of his slump if Washington is going to win today.

With the way this series has gone so far, I expect the Mets to win again. Again, Washington has been the worst team in the MLB in recent weeks whereas New York is looking like a legitimate playoff threat. Unless Gore pitches his greatest performance of the season, I see this uphill battle being too much for the Nats to handle.

As far as the best bet goes, let’s just stick with the Mets on the moneyline.

Nationals vs. Mets MLB Prediction: NYM wins

Best Nationals vs. Mets Bet: NYM ML (-135)

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Best Nationals vs Mets MLB Player Prop (7/11)

There are a few Nationals vs. Mets player props that stand out, including David Peterson o4.5 total strikeouts (-120)

Peterson has shown consistency with these props in his recent showings. He has achieved an average of 5.3 strikeouts in his last four starts, hitting the Over in three of these appearances. This includes the time he scored five against the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 6. Now Peterson is up against the Nationals, who currently share 16th place for the most strikeouts against left-handed pitchers this season.

I predict Peterson will have another strong performance on the mound, given that Washington is also batting at .229 against left-handed pitchers (ranked 26th).

Nationals vs Mets MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/11)