Happy Hump Day, everyone!
Get ready for an exciting day of baseball action as we zero in on Los Angeles teams. I’ve got a couple of hot picks to fulfill your betting cravings.
Let’s dive in and enjoy the game!
Top MLB Prop Bets for Wednesday’s Slate
Picks in this piece are courtesy of BetOnline. At BetOnline, you can get great odds on all of the top MLB matchups every day.
5/5 Review Rating 50% up to $1,000
Bonus Details »
$10 Cash Bonus with code “BNEWS”
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
Write Up Transparency
Be sure to follow me on X/Twitter @C_marchio2 to get my full card every day! Check my Action profile on the Action app @cmarchio. Picks are always free.
Last night’s card went 3-5 (+2.8 Units) | Last 7 Days: 21-25 (+11.8 Units) | Last 30 Days: 83-87 (+47.1 Units)
Team Total Prop: Angels F5 Team Total Over 2.5 (+124)
Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ Bovada
A Couple of guys gearing up for some early runs
The Stank:
It’s been a rough week for first five team total props, but we’re due for a turnaround. Let’s shift our focus to tonight’s Rockies vs. Angels matchup.
Kyle Freeland is on the mound for the Rockies and comes in with the second-worst pitcher rating according to Batters-Box.com. Freeland, a left-hander, has been a prime target for first five inning team total bets this season. With a 6.23 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP, he’s allowed opponents to exceed 2.5 runs in six of his ten starts.
A real thriller #RepTheHalo | #SoCalMcD pic.twitter.com/3xI0Riy4TQ
— Los Angeles Angels (@Angels) July 31, 2024
Tonight, he faces a lineup with six elite hitters, one struggling hitter, and none exceeding the league strikeout rate. While the Angels aren’t known for their offense—they rank 8th worst in first five innings scoring—they’ve recently found their groove, averaging 5.33 runs over their last three games, including back-to-back games with 8+ runs.
While a regression might be on the horizon, the numbers and six elite hitters make this a bet I can’t ignore. The data is compelling, and I’m confident in this play.
Hitter Prop: Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI (+100)
Get These Odds & Sign Up Bonus @ BetOnline
The Stank:
I love finding mispriced props, especially when a pitcher is coming off a no-hitter. Welcome to Letdown City, USA.
In case you missed it, Padres’ ace and top-5 mustache in sports, Dylan Cease, threw a no-hitter against the Washington Nationals last week. Today, he faces the loaded Los Angeles Dodgers lineup. While I’m tempted by the Dodgers moneyline in the first five innings, let’s focus on something else.
We’re here to discuss Shohei Ohtani to go over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI at even money. The Dodgers’ designated hitter, is the only elite player in this matchup. Ohtani hasn’t recorded a hit in two games but has scored a run in three straight. Today, feels like the perfect spot to get at least a base knock.
According to Batters-box.com, Ohtani exceeds this prop 66.36% of the time with an elite rating—based on 110 elite rating samples. This season, he hits this mark 60.42% of the time with elite ratings.
I love the spot, the price, and of course, Shohei Ohtani.
So, give me Ohtani to go over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI with Dylan Cease coming off the outing of his life at even money!
Sprinkle of the Day: Shohei Ohtani Home Run (+300)
- When elite this season hits a home run 27.08% of the time
- Last three season homers in 31.82% of the time
- This is a fantastic price for Shohei
Where to find more Advanced Analytics
Batters-Box.com is my go-to website to find the best matchup ratings for my daily MLB wagers. It is not the end all be all, but it is always a great place to start your journey into your daily baseball bets. Last season using Batters-Box.com I went up 98 units. Don’t believe me? Check my Action profile @cmarchio.
I also use FanGraphs, Statmuse and ESPN for other stats to help me decide if a player is worth my time or not.
Good luck this season you psychos!
Interested in More Content?
Get FREE Picks and Props Weekly
Sign up for
THE WEEKENDER NEWSLETTER
Follow me on X @C_marchio2 for all of my picks and sports opinions!
Be sure to check out all things Betting News on X and Twitch!
While you are at it go get some merch at our Betting News Store!
In need of a sportsbook? Check out one of our favorites below and sign-up for a bonus!
5/5 Review Rating 50% up to $1,000
Bonus Details »
$10 Cash Bonus with code “BNEWS”
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
4.2/5 Review Rating 50% up to $1,000
Bonus Details »
Watch Live Games
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
4.4/5 Review Rating 125% Deposit Bonus or $25 Free Bet
Bonus Details »
Best Deposit & Free Play Bonuses
Largest Selection of Sports & Games
4.4/5 Review Rating 50% up to $1,000
Bonus Details »
Odds Open Very Early
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
4/5 Review Rating 50% up to $750
Bonus Details »
Very Fast Payout Times
Sports, Casino, Poker & Racebook
Interested in Learning More About Betting on the MLB?
We have tons of MLB betting resources, ranging from daily predictions to expert picks and you can find them below to help you get started.
- MLB Betting Articles
- MLB Betting Odds
- MLB Picks Page
Also, follow Betting News on X/Twitter, Twitch, and TikTok to get more daily sports betting insight and more from the Betting News team.
- Betting News on “X”/Twitter
- Betting News on Twitch
- Betting News on TikTok
