Mets vs Cubs MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (6/21)

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Friday’s MLB schedule kicks off at 2:20 p.m. ET when the New York Mets (35-38) begin a three-game series against the Chicago Cubs (36-39) at Wrigley Field.

The Mets are on rebound watch after Wednesday’s 5-3 loss to the Texas Rangers ended their winning streak at seven games. Meeanwhile, the Cubs are gunning for a third consecutive victory after Dansby Swanson’s big night (2 hits, 1 HR, 3 RBIs) led them to 6-5 win over the San Francisco Giants.

Can New York get back on track in the Windy City? Or will Chicago give the home crowd something to cheer about?

Without wasting any more time, let’s dive into my Mets vs. Cubs preview, featuring game predictions and the best MLB bets.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 36-37-0 (49.3%)

MLB Betting Today: Mets vs Cubs (6/21)

Mets vs Cubs Game Information

  • Matchup: New York Mets (35-38, 17-15 Away) vs. Chicago Cubs (36-39, 21-16 Home)
  • Venue & Location: Wrigley Field (Chicago, IL)
  • Date: Friday, June 21, 2024
  • Game Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch Mets vs. Cubs: MLB.TV, Fubo, SNY, MARQ

Mets vs Cubs MLB Probable Pitchers

  • Mets: Jose Quintana (14 starts —2-5, 4.98 ERA)
  • Cubs: Shota Imanaga (13 starts — 7-1, 1.89 ERA)

Cubs vs Mets MLB Odds & Spread

Cubs vs. Mets MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Friday, June 21 at 10:38 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Mets vs Cubs Run Line

  • New York Mets +1.5 (-153)
  • Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+143)

Cubs vs Mets Over/Under

  • Over 8 Runs (-113)
  • Under 8 Runs (-107)

Mets vs Cubs Moneyline

  • New York Mets (+133)
  • Chicago Cubs (-145)

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Mets vs Cubs MLB Betting Trends

  • The Mets are 6-1 straight up in their last seven road games.
  • The Cubs are 13-7 straight up in their last 20 home games vs. the Mets.
  • The total hit the Under in six of the Mets’ last eight games vs. the NL.
  • The total hit the Under in 10 of the Cubs’ last 12 games.
  • The total hit the Under in five of the last six Mets-Cubs matchups.

Mets vs Cubs Predictions & MLB Picks Today (6/21)

This afternoon’s matchup marks the start of the second and final Mets-Cubs series of the 2024 MLB season. The NL clubs previously met for four games at Citi Field nearly two months ago, resulting in New York and Chicago splitting the series two games apiece.

The scene now shifts to Wrigley Field, where the Cubs have played to mixed results lately. While they’re only 6-7 SU in their last 13 home games, they did outscore the Giants 11-7 on aggregate in the last two tilts at Wrigley. Additionally, Chicago is 13-7 SU in its last 20 home games against New York, which includes winning three of the last four.

Having said that, Carlos Mendoza’s team shouldn’t be underestimated. After all, the Mets had won seven straight games before losing to the defending World Series Champions on Wednesday, outscoring those foes by an average of 4.3 runs per game.

That’s without mentioning how the Mets are also 6-1 SU in their last seven road games, as well as 10-8 SU against the NL Central in 2024. Conversely, the Cubs are only 6-8 SU against NL East teams.

The Mets have been killing it on the road throughout the last few weeks. 

We’ll see which version of Jose Quintana shows up for the Mets this afternoon. On one hand, his 2-5 record, 4.98 ERA, and 1.369 WHIP through 14 starts have left much to be desired. On the other hand, the veteran southpaw only allowed one earned run with six strikeouts in as many innings in his last start and now faces the Cubs, who are 5-10 SU against left-handed pitchers.

Speaking of which, Quintana also boasts a 2.45 ERA in his last four games against Chicago, striking out 19 batters in 22 innings along the way.

Still, it’s going to take a lot for Quintana to outduel Shota Imanaga. The Cubs ace is 7-1 with a 1.89 ERA in 13 appearances and is averaging 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings pitched. One of those starts saw Imanaga pitch seven scoreless innings with seven Ks in a 1-0 win over the Mets on May 1.

Shota Imanaga has lived up to the hype in his debut MLB season. 

Taking the above into account, let’s back the Cubs to win. It’s just hard to doubt Chicago whenever Imanaga starts, especially since the team has only lost two of his first 13 MLB starts. For comparison, the Mets are 3-5 in Quintana’s last eight appearances. Besides, Chicago knows how to handle New York at home.

We’ll keep things simple with a Cubs moneyline bet as well. Again, I’m confident in Chicago’s outlook mainly due to the fact that Imanaga embarrassed New York’s lineup once this season. It’s going to be tough getting anything going off him and as long as he brings his usual stuff to the mound, this game is the Cubs’ to lose.

Mets vs. Cubs MLB Prediction: CHC wins

Best Mets vs. Cubs Bet: CHC ML (-145)

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Best Mets vs Cubs MLB Player Prop (6/21)

As for the best Mets vs. Cubs player prop, there’s nothign wrong with backing Shota Imanaga u2.5 earned runs (-154).

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Imanaga has been one of baseball’s best hurlers all year, proven by his +750 odds to win the NL Cy Young (5th) on BetOnline. The Japanese southpaw has also allowed fewer than 2.5 earned runs in 12 of his 13 appearances, including in each of his last three starts.

Considering how the Mets couldn’t score a single run off him less than two months ago, Imanaga likely won’t surrender many opportunities today. Back the Under all the way.

Best Mets vs. Cubs MLB Prop Bet: Shota Imanaga u2.5 Earned Runs (-154)

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