Mercury vs Mystics WNBA Predictions, Odds, & Best Bets (7/16)

Today’s Mercury vs. Mystics predictions and WNBA best bets are brought to you by BetOnline. BetOnline is a market leader in sports betting, offering various options from the WNBA season to NBA odds and everything in between.


Tuesday’s WNBA schedule begins at 11:30 a.m. ET with a matchup between the Phoenix Mercury (12-12) and Washington Mystics (6-18) at Capital One Arena.

2024 WNBA Betting Picks Record: 2-2-0 (50.0%)

WNBA Betting Today: Mercury vs Mystics (7/16)

Mercury vs Mystics Game Information

  • Matchup: Phoenix Mercury (12-12, 4-8 Away) vs. Washington Mystics (6-18, 3-8 Home)
  • Venue & Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)
  • Date: Tuesday, July 16, 2024
  • Game Time: 11:30 a.m. ET
  • How to Watch Mercury vs. Mystics: WNBA app, MNMT

Mystics vs Mercury WNBA Betting Odds & Spread

Mystics vs. Mercury WNBA odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Tuesday, July 16 at 8:57 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Mercury vs Mystics Spread

  • Phoenix Mercury -5 (-115)
  • Washington Mystics +5 (-105)

Mystics vs Mercury Over/Under

  • Over 168.5 Points (-110)
  • Under 168.5 Points (-110)

Mercury vs Mystics Moneyline

  • Phoenix Mercury (-215)
  • Washington Mystics (+185)

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Mercury vs Mystics WNBA Betting Trends

  • Phoenix is 10-4 straight up in its last 14 games vs. Washington.
  • Washington is 3-9 straight up in its last 12 home games.
  • Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last five games vs. Washington.
  • Washington is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games.
  • The total hit the Over in four of Phoenix’s last six road games.
  • The total hit the Over in eight of Washington’s last 12 home games vs. Phoenix.

Mercury vs Mystics Predictions & WNBA Picks Today (7/16)

Both the Mercury and Mystics head into this morning’s matchup in desperate need of a victory.

Phoenix was on a bit of a hot streak for a moment, however, back-to-back losses to the Indiana Fever and Connecticut Sun have brought the team back down to earth. Meanwhile, Washington is 2-5 SU across its last even contests and is coming off a demoralizing 89-77 loss to the Las Vegas Aces at home on Sunday.

Speaking of which, Capital One Arena hasn’t provided the Mystics with much of a boost lately. They’re currently on a three-game skid at home, having lost those matchups by an average of 8.7 points per game. Having said that, the Mercury’s latest pair of losses came on the road, including when they only scored 69 points on .406/.280/.600 splits against the Sun two days ago.

Do the Mystics have what it takes to break out of their funk at home? 

When it comes to the recent history between these teams, this game is only the second Mercury vs. Mystics tilt of the 2024 WNBA season. They previously collided at Footprint Center on May 23 as Phoenix picked up an 83-80 victory over Washington as Diana Taurasi and Kahleah Copper combined for 40 points on 46.7% shooting.

With that victory, the Mercury are now 10-4 SU in their last 14 games against the Mystics, leaving time to tell if that trend continues today.

As far as injuries go, both sides are banged up at the moment. The Mercury will be without both Sug Sutton (hamstring) and Charisma Osborne (leg) while the Mystics are still without Shakira Austin (hip), Brittney Sykes (foot), and Karlie Samuelson (finger).

The good news for Washington is that DiDi Richards (knee) is probable to suit up.

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After beating the Mystics earlier this season, I predict another Mercury victory today. Washington can’t get any momentum going now, and its injury situation makes ending the skid unlikely. Phoenix is due to bounce back after consecutive losses and I see that happening today based on the teams’ recent history.

As for the best bet, though, let’s take the Over on the 168.5-point total. The Over is 4-1 in the Mercury’s last five games (178.6 PPG) and 5-2 in the Mystics’ last seven home games (170.0 PPG). Considering how the last three Phoenix-Washington tilts averaged a combined 167.7 PPG, surpassing tonight’s projected total isn’t that farfetched.

Mercury vs. Mystics Prediction: PHX wins

Best Mercury vs. Mystics WNBA Bet: o168.5 Total Points  (-110)

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Best Mercury vs Mystics WNBA Prop Bet (7/17)

If you’re looking for a Mercury vs. Mystics player prop, I recommend taking Kahleah Copper to score over 23.5 points (+100).

While Copper can be a streak player, she’s playing some of her best basketball of the season at the moment. The former Rutgers guard is averaging 28.8 points on .531/.286/.842 splits across her last five games, finishing with the Over on this prop in four of those contests. Additionally, the Over is 4-2 in her last six road games (24.8 PPG).

With the Mercury needing a win to turn things around, look for Copper to step up and deliver when her team needs her the most.

Best Mercury vs. Mystics Prop Bet: Kahleah Copper o23.5 Total Points (+100)

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WNBA Best Bets and Picks Today

Are you looking to get in on even more WNBA picks tonight? Check out our WNBA news page for more 2024 season game previews and news.

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