We’ve got quite the AL Central showdown as the race for the division heats up. Three teams sit within 3.5 games of each other, as the Guardians lead the division, the Twins are 1.5 games back, and the Royals are 3.5 games back overall. Tonight the Twins could gain some ground as they face off with the Guardians in the 3rd of a 4 game series. Minnesota has already won the first two games of this series, but they were the first two wins against Cleveland this year. The Guardians lead the overall season series, 5-2, with six total games remaining, including tonight.
Minnesota is 34-21 at home this season, have won 6 straight at Target Field, and have won 7 of their L9 games overall. This team is hot and gunning for the Guardians in first place of the Central. As a team, the Twins hit much better at home with very minimal drop off against RHP, plus Gavin Williams hasn’t had the best year anyways. Although his away splits are kind of incredible, there is not much sample size as he as pitched just 33 innings this season. This will be his first time seeing the Twins, and batting .268 at home will be very tough.
As for the Guardians, their once rather large lead in the division is dwindling fast. Cleveland has lost 7 straight games, and are now fighting for their lives. The playoff race is heating up and two teams are breathing down their necks ready to pounce. The Guardians cannot afford to drop another game, but will they pull off a victory today?
Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins: Race for the Central
Can the Guardians stop this 7 game skid?
Game Information – Guardians vs Twins
- Venue & Location: Target Field (Minneapolis, MN)
- Date: Saturday, August 10th, 2024
- First Pitch: 7:10pm Eastern
Guardians vs Twins Starting Pitchers
- Cleveland Guardians: Gavin Williams (1-4, 4.91 ERA, 1.48 WHIP)
- Minnesota Twins: Simeon Woods Richardson (3-2, 3.87 ERA, 1.23 WHIP)
Betting Odds
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Run Line
- Guardians +1.5 (-198)
- Twins -1.5 (+173)
Money Line
- Guardians +106
- Twins -116
Total
- Over 8.5 (-115)
- Under 8.5 (-105)
Who Will Win the AL Central?
Royce Lewis is back in action for the Twins this season
The Guardians have lost 7 straight games, and the Twins are right on their backs. They could get within one game of Cleveland with a 3rd straight win against them tonight, and I think they do just that. They bat .268 as a team at home, and they should absolutely rip Williams. He allowed 6 runs on 8 hits in just 4 innings against Baltimore on Sunday, including 2 home runs picking up his 4th loss in just 7 starts this season. Ironically, his best outings have been on the road, but those starts were against the Tigers, whose bats do not come close to comparing to the Twins. This one could get out of hand.
Simeon Woods Richardson starts for Minnesota and he hasn’t won a game since June 26th. However, he’s got much better splits at home, and that should play in his favor against the Guardians. Woods Richardson sees his ERA drop nearly half a run down to 3.40 at home, and his WHIP all the way down to 1.12. Even though he has had some struggles recently, I think he reels it back in tonight at home and shoves against Cleveland.
The Twins have all kinds of momentum coming into this game, and the Guardians are sitting back on their heels. I have no problem backing this team in this situation even though we are betting on the streak to continue. The splits and stats tell me the Twins take this game, because mainly I do not trust Gavin Williams at all.
Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Best Bets
Can the Twins stay hot and overtake the AL Central?
Guardians vs Twins Prediction: Twins Win
Best Bet: Twins ML (-116) BetOnline
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Gavin Williams has a tough task ahead. According to batters-box.com (Do NOT Forget the Hyphen), he faces one Elite hitter, two others with a great matchup, and 5 more with an above average rating today. All of those guys have a great or elite fastball rating as well, which Williams throws over 56% of the time. The Twins could easily get a hold of his speed and take it for a ride out of the park.
Minnesota has score 7.33 runs per game in their last six home games, which were all wins. I see this continuing tonight against a pitcher who has had a character building year for Cleveland. Ultimately, I think the Twins win this game and get the W at home.
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