An AL East rivalry is happening this evening in Camden Yards as the Baltimore Orioles take on the Boston Red Sox in Game 2 of this 3 game series. The Orioles routed the Red Sox for an 11-3 victory yesterday during the afternoon, so let’s hope Boston remembered that they have a baseball game today!
Both of these pitchers have already seen the other lineup once this year, but this time the Orioles have the home field advantage, even though they haven’t needed it yet. Baltimore swept Boston in 3 games at Fenway Park in early April, and now have won a 4th straight game against the Red Sox last night. The Orioles have also covered the run line in all 4 of those games.
Will Boston finally put up a fight today? Or can Baltimore improve their home record?
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Matchup Information
- Venue & Location: Camden Yards (Baltimore, MD)
- Date: Tuesday, May 28th, 2024
- First Pitch: 6:35pm Eastern
- Where to Watch: NESN
Pitching Matchup
- Boston Red Sox: Brayan Bello (5-2, 4.04 ERA)
- Baltimore Orioles: Grayson Rodriguez (5-1, 3.20 ERA)
Betting Odds
Odds via BetOnline, an industry leader in the sports betting world.
Run Line
- Red Sox +1.5 (-145)
- Orioles -1.5 (+125)
Money Line
- Red Sox +149
- Orioles -163
Total
- Over 8.5 (+105)
- Under 8.5 (-125)
Can Bello Pitch Better on the Road?
Brayan Bello starts against the Orioles tonight
Brayan Bello and Grayson Rodriguez have both made starts against the lineups they see tonight, however they went two different directions.
Bello gave up 3 runs, but just 1 earned, on 4 hits a 2 walks in 5.1 innings. The Red Sox went on the lose that game 7-1. Now, it could be a great time to continue to fade him, as he is coming off two horrendous starts on the road. In a combined 10.2 innings, Bello has allowed 8 earned runs on 11 hits, including 3 home runs. I have a feeling the Orioles’ batters could get to him again.
In Rodriguez’ start, he pitched 5.2 innings, allowing just 2 runs on 6 hits and striking out 5 batters at Fenway Park. His numbers improve tremendously at home, and I have a feeling that stays constant in today’s game. I’ll be taking Rodriguez and the Orioles in some way, shape, or form. Let me explain.
Rodriguez has 9 starts this year and 4 at Camden Yards. He has pithed 11.2 shutout innings in his L2 starts at home, and like I said, his numbers are bonkers.
Rodriguez at Home
- 4 Starts
- 23.2 Innings Pitched
- WHIP: 1.03
- ERA: 1.16
- K/Inning: 1.07
Let me tell you exactly how I’ll play this.
Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Best Bets
Grayson Rodriguez pitches much better at Camden Yards
Best Bets: Grayson Rodriguez Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-141) BetOnline
Like I said up top, the guy is a stud at home, and he’s pitched nearly 12 straight scoreless innings in his L2 home starts. In his last 3 starts overall, Rodriguez has a 1.23 WHIP, a 1.11 ERA, and has 17 total strikeouts. I think he shoves today against the Red Sox, and leads the Orioles to another win against Boston.
Bonus Bets: Orioles -1.5 (+125) BetOnline
I think Rodriguez shoves, I think Bello gets shelled by the O’s at home, and ultimately, I think Baltimore rolls all over the Red Sox. The Orioles have won 5 straight and although the Red Sox are statistically better on the road, I believe the young core of Baltimore is ready and able to take down their division rival again.
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