Dillon Brooks’ price point and upside makes him a great pick for your roster tonight.
See below for a breakdown of value plays for tonight’s slate of games on Fan Duel by FantasyPros.
Russell Westbrook (PG – WAS) at MEM $9,800
If you’re looking to buy a share of Washington’s stars, Westbrook gives you more bang for your buck tonight — he’s $700 cheaper than Beal. Westbrook has outscored Beal in their last two games, and he has hit 5x value against this price in all but two of his last eight outings. In contrast, Beal has hit 5x value in just half of those eight games. You should expect a lot of points in this one, and that makes Westbrook an excellent investment.
Kristaps Porzingis (PF – DAL) at SAS $8,300
Porzingis posted 41.1 FD points against the Spurs back in late January, which is good for 5x value against this price. The matchup isn’t fantastic here, as San Antonio has done a good job of limiting opposing bigs. Still, Porzingis’ floor makes him worth the price — especially since power forward is relatively thin tonight.
Jonas Valanciunas (C – MEM) vs. WAS $7,000
Valanciunas is the best value at center tonight. He is only $500 more expensive than Jakob Poeltl, but he takes on the Wizards, who give up the second-most FanDuel points per game (FDPPG) to the position. Valanciunas has posted some disappointing results of late and that’s led to a downtick in his salary, but I would buy the dip tonight. Also, who else are you going to use at center? After Poeltl, you’re down to Alex Len ($4,500) or Robin Lopez ($4,200). No thanks.
Dillon Brooks (SG – MEM) vs. WAS $5,600
Yes, I’m aware that Brooks’ teammate, De’Anthony Melton, has been lighting people up recently. So is FanDuel. That’s why Melton will cost you $6,000 tonight. Brooks is a much better investment — not only is he cheaper, but he has also averaged more minutes over the last three games. More importantly, he has hit 5x in two of the three games Grayson Allen has missed with his concussion.
LaMarcus Aldridge (PF – SAS) at DAL $5,500
I don’t love Aldridge tonight, but he did look excellent against the Mavericks when these teams last met. He posted 41.8 FD points, good for 7.6x value against this price. While the Spurs have moved away from him in recent weeks, Aldridge is quite affordable for someone we’ve already seen succeed against his opponent.
Jalen Brunson (PG – DAL) vs. SAS $5,400
Brunson has hit 5x value against this price in his last two games. Sure, one of those came without Luka Doncic, but his best performance came with Doncic still in the lineup! Brunson also hit 5x value against the Spurs earlier in the year, too, so I have faith in him as a value option at point guard.
Justise Winslow (SF – MEM) vs. WAS $4,800
Winslow deserves a bit more respect here. He may have only posted 17.3 FD points against the Wizards when these teams last met on Mar. 2, but he had hit 5x value against this price in the game prior. The Wizards give up the second-most FDPPG to small forwards, where Winslow spends most of his minutes, and he makes a strong boom-or-bust play at this salary.
Deni Avdija (SF – WAS) at MEM $4,000
Avdija posted 17.9 FD points against the Wizards on Mar. 2, and he followed that up by posting 18.4 FD points against the Clippers two days later. That’s not jaw-dropping production, but it was good enough for him to average 4.5x value through the two-game stretch. While that’s a bit below what I usually look for on FanDuel, tonight’s small slate makes Avdija worth a dart throw.
Patty Mills (SG – SAS) at DAL $4,000
Mills has only hit 5x value once over his last five outings, but he also hit at least 4.5x value in all but one of those games. That makes him a reliable floor play. Mills almost always scores between 18 and 20 FD points, so if you need a stopgap at guard in cash contests, he’s your guy.
Desmond Bane (SG – MEM) vs. WAS $3,500
Bane sits at the site minimum on tonight’s slate. That usually wouldn’t be odd, but with so few alternatives, the fact that he hit 5x value in one of the three games without Grayson Allen has some significance. That 34.9-FD point performance against the Rockets points to enough value for me to consider him tonight.
