Braves vs Orioles MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (6/11)

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The Baltimore Orioles (43-22) will try to extend their winning streak when they host the Atlanta Braves (35-28) for an inter-league showdown on Tuesday. Tonight’s 6:35 p.m. ET showdown is the beginning of a three-game series between the clubs.

The Braves hope to reverse their fortunes after Sunday’s 8-5 loss to the Washington Nationals marked the seventh loss in their last 11 games. Meanwhile, the Orioles are coming off a 5-2 win over the rival Tampa Bay Rays, completing a four-game sweep in the process.

Does Atlanta have what it takes to win on the road? Or will Baltimore find another way to win again?

This Braves vs. Orioles MLB betting preview has everything you need for today — from the latest odds to the best bets you can make — so let’s dive in.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 31-22-0 (58.5%)

MLB Betting Today: Braves vs Orioles (6/11)

Braves vs Orioles Game Information

  • Matchup: Atlanta Braves 35-28, (16-16 Away) vs. Baltimore Orioles (43-22, 21-12 Home)
  • Venue & Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards (Baltimore, MD)
  • Date: Tuesday, June 11, 2024
  • Game Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch Braves vs. Orioles: MLB.TV, Bally Sports South, Fubo

Braves vs Orioles MLB Probable Pitchers

  • Braves: Max Fried (12 starts — 6-2, 2.93 ERA)
  • Orioles: Albert Suarez (13 games/6 starts — 2-0, 1.83 ERA)

Orioles vs Braves MLB Odds & Spread

Orioles vs. Braves MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Tuesday, June 11 at 10:06 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Braves vs Orioles Run Line

  • Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+130)
  • Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-150)

Orioles vs Braves Over/Under

  • Over 8 Runs (+100)
  • Under 8 Runs (-120)

Braves vs Orioles Moneyline

  • Atlanta Braves (-130)
  • Baltimore Orioles (+120)

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Braves vs Orioles MLB Betting Trends

  • Atlanta is 3-6 straight up in its last nine road games.
  • Baltimore is 5-2 straight up in its last seven home games.
  • The total hit the Under in 11 of Atlanta’s last 13 games vs. the AL.
  • The total hit the Under in four of Baltimore’s last five games vs. the NL East.
  • The total hit the Under in six of the last eight Atlanta-Baltimore matchups.

Braves vs Orioles Predictions & MLB Picks Today (6/11)

Tonight’s looming showdown is a tale between two teams heading in opposite directions.

The Braves are currently second in the NL East, but wins have been hard to come by. Not only has Brian Snitker’s club dropped seven of its last 11 outings, but it heads into this matchup on a three-game losing strike, having been outscored 17-9 along the way. If that isn’t grim enough, Atlanta is also 3-6 SU across its last nine road games.

Meanwhile, the Orioles are looking for a fifth consecutive victory after sweeping the lowly Rays on the road. The sweep was just an example of the recent success that Baltimore has amassed, proven by a 14-4 SU record in the last 18 games. That’s without mentioning how the O’s have also won five of their last seven home games.

Baltimore’s recent home success stems from it averaging an impressive 5.9 runs per game during that stretch. Conversely, Atlanta is averaging just 2.8 runs in its last five away contests.

The Orioles’ offense has been performing well at Camden Yards recently. 

Nevertheless, scoring runs might be difficult for the home team tonight. After all, the Braves are rolling with left-handed starter Max Fried, who currently holds the fifth-best NL Cy Young odds (+1100) on BetOnline. The three-time Gold Glove winner has been excellent, going 6-2 with a 2.93 ERA and a career-low 6.5 hits per nine innings across 12 starts.

It is worth noting, though, that Fried surrendered five earned runs and two homers in six innings when he faced Baltimore last May. Atlanta picked up a 9-4 loss that day.

As for the Orioles, you can expect to see Albert Suarez back on the mound. After a seven-year MLB absence, the 34-year veteran has looked at home with the O’s, pitching to a 2-0 record and 1.83 ERA in 13 appearances (6 starts). He’s also surrendered only three earned runs in his last 19 2/3 innings on the mound.

Can Braves LHP Max Fried outperform Orioles RHP Albert Suarez tonight? 

Tonight, we’re taking the Orioles to pull off the upset at home. The Braves are favored due to Fried getting the start, but this is a team that just dropped three straight games to the Nationals. The Orioles are a much bigger threat and have been playing terrifically at Camden Yards all year on top of the fact that they’re also 13-5 SU against lefties.

As for the best bet, though, let’s take the Under on the 8-run total. For starters, the Under is 6-2 in Fried’s last eight appearances while Suarez’s last three starts saw a combined average of 5.7 runs scored.

The Under is also 6-2 across the last eight Braves-Orioles matchups which averaged 6.9 runs per game. Considering how each of the last five tilts between these teams at Camden Yards missed their projected totals, I don’t expect an overwhelming amount of offense tonight.

Braves vs Orioles MLB Prediction: BAL wins

Best Braves vs Orioles Bet: u8 Total Runs (-120)

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Best Braves vs Orioles MLB Player Prop (6/11)

I feel like going with a plus-money Braves vs. Orioles player prop pick today, hence why I suggest backing Anthony Santander to record at least two total bases (+114).

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Although April and May were rocky at times, Santander quickly turned things around in June. The 29-year-old veteran is slashing .302/.362/.698 with 13 hits, two doubles, and five home runs in his last 11 games. He amassed 30 total bases along the way (2.7 per contest) and made good on this prop in eight of those contests.

After homering off Max Fried when the Braves and Orioles clashed last season, I feel confident about Santander pulling through again.

Best Braves vs Orioles MLB Prop Bet: Anthony Santander 2+ Total Bases (+114)

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