It’s Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season and this week’s action kicks off with tonight’s clash between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons on Thursday Night Football. Not only will tensions be high in this NFC South showdown, but this game also features quite a few attractive bets — including when it comes to touchdown markets.
Last week’s TD picks were a mixed bag. While CeeDee Lamb (-143) scored a touchdown, Daniel Jones (+260) and Malik Naybers (+120) were both held out of the end zone.
Let’s get back on track with tonight’s three best Buccaneers vs. Falcons touchdown bets.
2024 NFL Touchdown Prop Record: 2-4
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NFL Week 5 TNF Betting: 3 Best Buccaneers vs Falcons Touchdown Bets
All NFL odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Thursday, Oct. 3 at 10:26 a.m. ET. Odds from other sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
1. Cade Otton Anytime Touchdown — +300 on BetOnline
Buccaneers tight end Cade Otton has yet to find the end zone this season, however, I can see that changing tonight.
The former Washington product is seeing a ton of volume lately. In his last two games, Otton is averaging 6.5 catches on 8.5 targets and that trend could continue against the Buccaneers. While the Falcons haven’t allowed a touchdown to a tight end through four weeks, they have surrendered the 12th-most receptions and 15th-most receiving yards to the position. In other words, he should see plenty of opportunities to hit paydirt.
Additionally, Otton scored an 11-yard touchdown the last time that the Buccaneers and Falcons collided. As long as he continues to see a steady volume, he’ll remain a threat to score.
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2. Bijan Robinson Anytime Touchdown — -143 on BetOnline
After scoring eight touchdowns as a rookie, Bijan Robinson has been relatively quiet in Year 2. The Falcons starting running back only has one touchdown through his first four appearances and was held to just 74 scrimmage yards without a score against the New Orleans Saints last week.
Could a date with the Buccaneers be what the ex-Texas Longhorn needs to get back on track?
For starters, Robinson recorded a touchdown in his only start against Tampa Bay last season. Jump ahead to now and the Buccaneers are struggling to stop the run, allowing an average of 5.0 rushing yards per carry — the fourth-worst mark in the NFL. That’s without mentioning how Tampa Bay has allowed at least one score to an RB in three of its first four games.
With Robinson being the focal point of the Falcons’ attack, there’s a good chance he will pick up TD No. 2 on Thursday Night Football.
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3. Mike Evans Anytime Touchdown — +120 on BetOnline
Do you know who loves facing the Falcons? Mike Evans.
In 18 career matchups against the NFC South rival, the Buccaneers playmaker is averaging 78.2 receiving yards and 5.1 receptions per game while scoring a total of 11 touchdowns. In fact, three of those TDs came within the last five games alone. Atlanta has also allowed three TDs to wide receivers thus far, showing that the secondary is vulnerable to making mistakes.
As for Evans, the former 2014 first-rounder has three TDs to begin the 2024 campaign and just torched the Philadelphia Eagles for 94 yards and a touchdown last week.
Considering how tonight’s Buccaneers vs. Falcons matchup is projected for 43.5 points, there should be plenty of opportunities for Evans to find his way into the end zone.
Note: Evans was dealing with a knee injury in practice this week, however, all signs point to him being 100% cleared for tonight.
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