The racing action from Churchill Downs on Saturday features the Fasig-Tipton Dogwood Stakes. @HandicappingT3 has all the Churchill Downs picks for the entire card!
Full Card Analysis
Churchill Downs Picks- 2024 Dogwood Stakes
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Churchill Downs Picks – Race 1
Post Time: 12:45 PM ET; Maiden Claiming $50k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 12 runners.
- #1 GRACE ON GRACE (7-2): Top pick. Looks good based on the 67 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Strong early pace figs.
- #8 LA BUKANA (9-2): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Running well of late.
- #11 STREAKING (4-1): Major Player. Has experience at this level.
- #7 LOVEBUG (8-1): Contender. Ran at this level last out. Should still have enough if the reserves are there in the final furlong.
Selections: 1 – 8 – 11 – 7
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 2
Post Time: 1:17 PM ET; Claiming $62k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
- #3 BEST SELLER (2-1): Top pick. Top jock on the circuit with Gaffalione. Strong early pace figs.
- #2 ROSIE’S HALO (5-2): Major Player. Speed figures match this group well. Running well of late.
- #6 KLIMT’S MUSE (9-2): Major Player. Previous success in similar race types. Could wear these ones down late.
- #5 JUMP INTO THE FIRE (5-1): Major Player. Can compete from a speed figure standpoint. Jockey is having a great meet.
Selections: 3 – 2 – 6 – 5
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 3
Post Time: 1:47 PM ET; Claiming $62k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
Best Bet of the Card
- #3 PAYNE (3-1): Best bet of the card. Decent form of late. Race sets up perfectly. Bet today’s best bet with industry-leading rebates on BetOnline.
- #7 JACKMAN (6-1): Contender. Should take a liking to the race shape. Likely to get forward position.
- #4 FRIAR LAURENCE (6-1): Contender. Could jump up in the figures and be dangerous. Barn has been sending out runners.
- #6 SUMMER SPLASH (5-2): Contender. Should still have enough in the reserves if there in the final furlong. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 3 – 7 – 4 – 6
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 4
Post Time: 2:17 PM ET; Allowance Optional Claiming $134k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 8 runners.
- #3 MIGHTY MADISON (9-5): Top pick. Comes in with solid form. Strong early pace figs.
- #8 PISTOL (3-1): Contender. Potentially cycling to a top performance. Gets a top-notch pilot in Gaffalione.
- #7 ERVADEAN (4-1): Worth a look. Previous success in similar race types.
- #5 CHARRIERE (10-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well.
Selections: 3 – 8 – 7 – 5
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 5
Post Time: 2:48 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 1 M Dirt; Field of 13 runners.
Longshot Play of the Day
- #3 STIGLETS (5-1): Longshot play of the day. Looks good based on the 72 speed rating which is among the top in the group. Could be ready for a top effort. Bet today’s live longshot on BetOnline.
- #8 LIMITED EDITION (8-1): Major Player. Gets a top-notch pilot in Gaffalione.
- #7 HEAVENVILLE (9-2): Major Player. May be able to find the right setup.
- #1 ROTHKO (7-2): Contender. Should still have enough in the reserves in the final furlong. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.
Selections: 3 – 8 – 7 – 1
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 6
Post Time: 3:21 PM ET; Allowance $127k; 5 1/2 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
- #6 JUSTIFREAK (5-2): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly.
- #3 ONE GIANT LEAP (7-2): Major Player. Expected to maintain its energy reserves into the final stretch. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #2 PAY ZONE (4-1): Major Player. Potentially ready to hit a top number. May be able to find the right setup.
- #9 ALDER (5-1): Contender. Speed figs are a bit slow, but not completely hopeless against the top of the field. Ran at this level last out.
Selections: 6 – 3 – 2 – 9
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 7
Post Time: 3:53 PM ET; Bourbon Flight Stakes $300k; 1 3/16 M Dirt; Field of 6 runners.
- #3 BATTEN DOWN (6-5): Top pick. Barn has been solid.
- #6 HADES (5-2): Contender. May be able to take advantage of the pace. Rider is in the upper tier of the colony.
- #1 NEXT LEVEL (6-1): Contender. Not likely to be short in the stretch.
- #2 ELEPHANT’S EAR (8-1): Fringe Contender. McPeek is the leading trainer in the standings. Shouldn’t be disadvantaged by the flow of the race.
Selections: 3 – 6 – 1 – 2
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 8
Post Time: 4:25 PM ET; Fasig-Tipton Dogwood Stakes $300k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 9 runners.
- #5 MY MANE SQUEEZE (5-2): Top pick. Top 5 rider aboard. Looks good based on the 93 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
- #9 HALINA’S FORTE (9-2): Contender. Good race flow for this runner. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #2 FIBBER (3-1): Contender. Not likely to be short in the stretch. Has experience at this level.
- #7 MANAMA GOLD (6-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Expect this one to be able to carry the distance.
Selections: 5 – 9 – 2 – 7
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 9
Post Time: 4:58 PM ET; Harrods Creek Stakes $300k; 7 F Dirt; Field of 7 runners.
- #1 JEFFERSON STREET (5-2): Top pick. Should be able to work out a trip. Looks good based on the 98 speed rating which is among the top in the group.
- #6 ILLUMINARE (2-1): Major Player. Rider is in the upper tier of the colony. Demonstrated success under similar conditions.
- #2 VALENTINE CANDY (3-1): Major Player. Trainer, Asmussen, is having a lot of success this meeting. Having this jockey up can only help the chances.
- #3 HENRO (6-1): Fringe Contender. Trainer’s horses have been running.
Selections: 1 – 6 – 2 – 3
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 10
Post Time: 5:29 PM ET; Seneca Overnight Stakes $175k; 1 1/16 M Dirt; Field of 13 runners.
- #12 MISS JUSTIFY (3-1): Top pick. Race sets up perfectly. Proven competitor at this configuration.
- #4 LITTLE JAMIE (8-1): Fringe Contender. Gets a top-notch pilot in Gaffalione. Stamina to be in the mix late.
- #8 CHATALAS (9-2): Worth a look. Previous success in similar race types.
- #9 LIFE TALK (5-1): Fringe Contender. Race conditions fit this one well. Early pace figs should have this one involved from the start.
Selections: 12 – 4 – 8 – 9
Churchill Downs Picks – Race 11
Post Time: 6:01 PM ET; Maiden Special Weight $120k; 6 F Dirt; Field of 16 runners.
- #16 UNO LE (5-1): Top pick. Stamina to outlast the competition.
- #5 SANG (5-1): Contender. Should take a liking to the race shape.
- #1 CRUISE MISSILE (9-2): Contender. Potential to have this pace fall just right. Trainer, McPeek, is having a lot of success this meeting.
- #14 BARBANERA (8-1): Fringe Contender. Jockey is having a great meet.
Selections: 16 – 5 – 1 – 14
Betting News Horse Racing Coverage
Don’t miss all the horse racing action covered by Betting News each and every week. Coverage includes free handicapping tools, comprehensive guides, and in-depth analysis of the week’s biggest cards. Check out our full card analysis for this week’s upcoming big races:
Friday
- Remington Park picks featuring the Remington Park Turf Sprint
Saturday
- Belmont at the Big A picks featuring the Grade 3 Nobel Damsel
- Churchill Downs picks featuring the Grade 3 Dogwood Stakes
- Gulfstream Park picks featuring the Grade 3 Princess Rooney Invitational (Breeders’ Cup Win and You’re In)
- Parx Race Course picks featuring 1 Pennsylvania Derby and Grade 1 Cotillion
