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Thursday’s MLB schedule features the Tampa Bay Rays (35-39) and Minnesota Twins (41-33) closing out their three-game series when they collide at Target Field with a 1:10 p.m. ET start time.
After losing the series opener, the Rays evened things up with yesterday’s 3-2 victory over the Twins. Randy Arozarena scored the game-winning run on an error in the 10th inning as Tampa Bay reliever Jason Adam recorded his fourth victory of the year.
Can the Rays make it two straight wins on the road? Or will Minnesota get the last laugh?
We went 2-0 on yesterday’s MLB betting picks, so let’s keep the momentum going as we dive into my Rays vs. Twins predictions and best bets.
2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 35-34-0 (50.7%)
MLB Betting Today: Rays vs Twins (6/20)
Rays vs Twins Game Information
- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays (35-39, 16-16 Away) vs. Minnesota Twins (41-33, 23-15 Home)
- Venue & Location: Target Field (Minneapolis, MN)
- Date: Thursday, June 20, 2024
- Game Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
- How to Watch Rays vs. Twins: MLB.TV, Fubo, ESPN+
Rays vs Twins MLB Probable Pitchers
- Rays: Zack Littell (14 starts —2-5, 4.24 ERA)
- Twins: Simeon Woods Richardson (11 starts — 2-1, 3.29 ERA)
Twins vs Rays MLB Odds & Spread
Twins vs. Rays MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Thursday, June 20 at 9:59 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.
Rays vs Twins Run Line
- Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (-175)
- Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+155)
Twins vs Rays Over/Under
- Over 7.5 Runs (-118)
- Under 7.5 Runs (-102)
Rays vs Twins Moneyline
- Tampa Bay Rays (+125)
- Minnesota Twins (-136)
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Rays vs Twins MLB Betting Trends
- Tampa Bay is 4-8 straight up in its last 12 games.
- Minnesota is 4-1 straight up in its last five home games.
- The total hit the Over in six of Tampa Bay’s last seven road games.
- The total hit the Under in 10 of Minnesota’s last 15 games vs. the AL East.
- The total hit the Over in 12 of the last 17 Tampa Bay-Minnesota matchups at Target Field.
Rays vs Twins Predictions & MLB Picks Today (6/20)
All eyes are on the Rays to see if they can capitalize on the momentum stemming from yesterday’s win. Having said that, winning back-to-back outings might be easier said than done.
The Rays haven’t won consecutive games in over two weeks, having gone an unimpressive 4-8 SU since then. They also haven’t won back-to-back outings in a series at Target Field since the 2016 MLB season, illustrating the rareness of the hypothetical feat.
Meanwhile, it’s entirely possible that yesterday’s loss was a fluke for Minnesota. After all, the Twins are now 8-2 SU in their last 10 games and had won six in a row with a plus-3.2 average run margin before coming up short in extra innings on Wednesday.
The Twins have also been solid at Target Field throughout the year. Not only does their 60.5% home winning percentage rank 10th-best in the Majors, but they also haven’t lost consecutive outings in Minneapolis since the middle of May.
The Rays have been racking up victories left and right at Target Field in the last month.
The Rays’ chance of success likely hinges on which version of Zack Littell shows up on the mound today. After a strong start to the year, Littell has been unable to score a victory since May 11, going 0-3 with a 5.97 ERA in his last six starts. It doesn’t help that opponents are slashing .307/.345/.533 against him during that stretch.
That’s without mentioning how the 28-year-old allowed three runs and two homers on five hits in his last trip to Target Field in September 2023.
As for the Twins, they could use a bounce-back performance from Simeon Woods Richardson. The former top-100 prospect allowed four earned runs and four walks across a quartet of innings in his most recent start last Wednesday. The good news for Minnesota is that he does own a 3.60 ERA in four starts at Target Field this season, meaning there’s a good chance he rebounds.
Interestingly enough, Tampa Bay is only 23-32 SU (41.8%) against righties this season whereas Minnesota is 29-25 SU (53.7%) in that regard.
RHP Zack Littell will start for the Rays at Target Field today.
After coming up short yesterday, the Twins will get revenge this afternoon. Minnesota has been great at home and performs well when Woods Richardson takes the mound, going 8-3 SU in his 11 starts thus far. Considering how the Rays struggle to produce when Littell starts (2.2 runs in last 5 starts), I’d be shocked if the Twins don’t get back on track.
With that in mind, we’ll keep things simple with a Minnesota moneyline bet. The Twins’ -136 odds are lower than I’d expect, so don’t hesitate to pounce on that value while you can.
Rays vs. Twins MLB Prediction: MIN wins
Best Rays vs. Twins Bet: MIN ML (-136)
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Best Rays vs Twins MLB Player Prop (6/20)
A pitcher player prop worked for us yesterday, hence why I recommend backing Zack Littell o2.5 earned runs (-110) for the best Rays vs. Twins pick.
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Although Littell has had his moments here and there this season, he’s also allowed the Over on this prop in seven of his 14 starts. In fact, the Over is 5-1 in his last appearances, which includes surrendering at least three or more earned runs in each of his last four starts. That’s on top of his surrendered three ERs when he faced the Twins last year.
Speaking of which, Minnesota performs well against right-handed pitchers, ranking second in doubles, fifth in triples, eighth in home runs, and ninth in on-base plus slugging percentage.
After allowing six earned runs in two innings less than a week ago, I feel fairly confident about Littell’s struggles continuing.
Best Rays vs. Twins MLB Prop Bet: Zack Littell o2.5 Earned Runs (-110)
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