UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Full Card Odds, Prelim Picks, Start Time, How to Watch, & More

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After a ton of controversy, UFC 303 is finally arriving this weekend. The Ultimate Fighting Championship’s latest pay-per-view takes over T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday with a card that’s headlined by a light heavyweight championship bout between Alex Pereira and Jiri Prochazka.

Just like with any UFC PPV, this weekend’s festivities are stacked with MMA betting opportunities. Figuring out where to find the latest odds and where to start can be tough, though, which is why Betting News is here to help.

We commence our coverage of UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 with a comprehensive preview of the full card. This features updated odds for each fight and includes my preliminary card selections.

UFC 303 Main Card Fights & Odds

All UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Monday, June 24 at 11:24 a.m.

UFC 303 Main event: Alex Pereira (c) vs. Jiri Prochazka 2 — Light Heavyweight

  • Record: Alex Pereira (10-2) vs. Jiri Prochazka (30-4-1)
  • Moneyline: Alex Pereira (-150) | Jiri Prochazka (+130)
  • Round total: 1.5 — Over (-185) | Under (+155)
  • Most likely method of victory: TBD

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UFC 303 Co-Main Event: Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes — Featherweight

  • Record: Brian Ortega (16-3, 1 NC) vs. Diego Lopes (24-6)
  • Moneyline: Brian Ortega (+105) | Diego Lopes (-125)
  • Round total: 1.5 — Over (-215) | Under (+175)
  • Most likely method of victory: TBD

Anthony Smith vs. Roman Dolidze — Light Heavyweight

  • Record: Anthony Smith (38-19) vs. Roman Dolidze (12-3)
  • Moneyline: Anthony Smith (+105) | Roman Dolidze (-125)
  • Round total: 1.5 — Over (-215) | Under (+175)
  • Most likely method of victory: TBD
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Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Macy Chiasson — Women’s Bantamweight

  • Record: Mayra Bueno Silva (10-3-1, 1 NC) vs. Macy Chiasson (9-3)
  • Moneyline: Mayra Bueno Silva (-131) | Macy Chiasson (+111)
  • Round total: 1.5 — Over (-185) | Under (+155)
  • Most likely method of victory: TBD

Ian Machado Garry vs. Michael Page — Welterweight

  • Record: Ian Machado Garry (14-0) vs. Michael Page (22-2)
  • Moneyline: Ian Machado Garry (-133) | Michael Page (+113)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (-220) | Under (+180)
  • Most likely method of victory: TBD

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UFC 303 Preliminary & Early Prelim Card Odds & Picks

UFC Saudi Arabia Prelim Fight Record: 4-1

UFC Saudi Arabia Prelim Best Bet Record: 3-2

Joe Pyfer vs. Marc-André Barriault — Middleweight

  • Record: Joe Pyfer (12-3)  vs. Marc-André Barriault (16-7, 1 NC)
  • Moneyline: Joe Pyfer (-285) | Marc-André Barriault (+245)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (+100) | Under (-130)

It’s challenging to disagree with the oddsmakers when considering Joe Pyfer’s impressive run leading up to UFC 303. True, he suffered a tough loss to Jack Hermansson in February, but we shouldn’t overlook the fact that he defeated five successive opponents prior to that loss. Marc-André Barriault, a competent veteran, has not exactly been conquering notable rivals and has only managed to finish two in his last six appearances.

Props are unavailable for now, so let’s go with Under 2.5 total rounds. After all, the Under is 12-1 in Pyfer’s last 13 bouts.

Pyfer vs. Barriault Prediction: Joe Pyfer

Pyfer vs. Barriault Best Bet: u2.5 Total Rounds (-130)

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Cub Swanson vs. Andre Fili — Featherweight

  • Record: Cub Swanson (29-13)  vs. Andre Fili (23-11, 1 NC)
  • Moneyline: Cub Swanson (+219) | Andre Fili (-259)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (-120) | Under (-110)

Despite the odds being skewed, I believe this fight could swing in either direction. Swanson holds a record of 4-2 in his most recent six matches, however, he hasn’t competed in the octagon since August 2023 and is currently 40 years old. On the other hand, Andre Fili has had inconsistent results, with a record of 2-4 and a no-contest in his last seven matches, and is fresh off a first-round knockout loss to Dan Ige.

I’d avoid betting on this fight altogether, however, back the Under on the 2.5-round total if you want to get in on the action. Not only is the Under 3-2 in Swanson’s last five fights but it’s also 4-2 in Fili’s six previous outings.

Swanson vs. Fili Prediction: Andre Fili

Swanson vs. Fili Best Bet: u2.5 Total Rounds (-110)

Charles Jourdain vs. Jean Silva — Featherweight

  • Record: Charles Jourdain (15-7-1)  vs. Jean Silva (12-2)
  • Moneyline: Charles Jourdain (-119) | Jean Silva (-101)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (-150) | Under (+120)

This featherweight match could potentially steal the show. Charles Jourdain, an experienced fighter, is looking to bounce back from a split-decision loss to Sean Woodson. On the other hand, Jean Silva is targeting his 10th straight win after defeating Westin Wilson by TKO in his first UFC fight.

I’m taking the underdog to win this bout. While Jourdain has more experience and is slightly bigger, Silva is the better grappler of the two and hasn’t lost a fight in over six years. Sparks should fly as the 27-year-old continues his hot streak.

Jourdain vs. Silva Prediction: Jean Silva

Jourdain vs. Silva Best Bet: Silva ML (-101)

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Payton Talbott vs. Yanis Ghemmouri — Bantamweight

  • Record: Payton Talbott (8-0)  vs. Yanis Ghemmouri (12-2)
  • Moneyline: Payton Talbott (-1800) | Yanis Ghemmouri (+1100)
  • Round total: 1.5 — Over (-135) | Under (+105)

Payton Talbott is the most favored fighter on the UFC 303 card, with his -1800 moneyline odds suggesting a 94.8% probability of him winning. So far, he has defeated seven out of his eight opponents and enhanced his UFC record to 2-0 after a TKO victory against Cameron Saaiman in March.

After Yanis Ghemmouri was TKO’d by William Gomis in his debut, it’s clear that we shouldn’t expect an upset. Three of Talbott’s last four fights reached Round 3, though, making the Over the best bet here.

Talbott vs. Ghemmouri Prediction: Payton Talbott

Talbott vs. Ghemmouri Best Bet: o1.5 Total Rounds (-135)

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Michelle Waterson-Gomez vs. Gillian Robertson — Women’s Strawweight

  • Record: Michelle Waterson-Gomez (18-12)  vs. Gillian Robertson (13-8)
  • Moneyline: Michelle Waterson-Gomez (+147) | Gillian Robertson (-172)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (-165) | Under (+135)

Sports upsets happen, but I don’t foresee one in this UFC 303 fight. Given that Michelle Waterson-Gomez has lost six of her recent seven fights, and four straight losses including a second-round TKO defeat to Marina Rodriguez in September, it’s justified that she’s considered the underdog.

Gillian Robertson may not be flawless, but her chances of winning are higher considering she has had four wins in her last six matches. This includes her spectacular performance at UFC 297, where she knocked out Polyana Viana, earning her the ‘performance of the night’ recognition.

Waterson-Gomez vs. Robertson Prediction: Gillian Robertson

Waterson-Gomez vs. Robertson Best Bet: Gillian Robertson ML (-172)

Andrei Arlovski vs. Martin Buday — Heavyweight

  • Record: Andrei Arlovski (34-23, 2 NC)  vs. Martin Buday (13-2)
  • Moneyline: Andrei Arlovski (+220) | Martin Buday (-260)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (-185) | Under (+155)

Andrei Arlovski’s prime days are definitively behind him as he approaches UFC 303 on the back of three straight losses, two of which were through knockout/submission. The one-time UFC Heavyweight Champion now faces the challenge of Martin Buday, eager for a victory following his knockout by Shamil Gaziev less than seven months prior.

Arlovski needs to hang up the gloves at this point because the 45-year-old no longer belongs in the cage. Three of Buday’s last five fights went the distance, though, while seven of Arlovski’s last 10 did the same, making the Over the best available betting option.

Arlovski vs. Buday Prediction: Martin Buday

Arlovski vs. Buday Best Bet: o2.5 Total Rounds (-185)

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Rei Tsuruya vs. Carlos Hernandez — Flyweight

  • Record: Rei Tsuruya (9-0)  vs. Carlos Hernandez (9-3)
  • Moneyline: Rei Tsuruya (-600) | Carlos Hernandez (+425)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (+150) | Under (-180)

Here’s another battle I won’t ponder too much. Although Rei Tsuruya is making his debut with a 9-0 record in his MMA career, Carlos Hernandez has already been defeated twice in his first three UFC matches, giving the impression that he’s out of his league in the promotion.

I predict that Tsuruya, with an 88.9% finish rate, will conclude things quickly.

Tsuruya vs. Hernandez Prediction: Rei Tsuruya

Tsuruya vs. Hernandez Best Bet: u2.5 Total Rounds (-180)

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Ricky Simon vs. Vinicius Oliveira — Bantamweight

  • Record: Ricky Simon (20-5)  vs. Vinicius Oliveira (20-3)
  • Moneyline: Ricky Simon (-210) | Vinicius Oliveira (+180)
  • Round total: 2.5 — Over (-110) | Under (-120)

Vinicius Oliveira marked his debut with a victory over Bernando Sopai in March, scoring his third successive knockout win. Now, he is lined up to compete against Ricky Simon, who is in dire need of a win following two consecutive losses for the first time in half a decade.

Even though Simon has more experience, I’m going with an upset. Oliveira has solid potential and has the perfect opportunity to catch his opponent in the middle of a slump. It won’t be easy, but sprinkling some money on an Oliveira upset is worth it.

Simon vs. Oliveira Prediction: Vinicius Oliveira

Simon vs. Oliveira Best Bet: Olivaira ML (+180)


UFC 303: Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Information & FAQ

When is UFC 303?

  • The UFC 303 event is scheduled for Saturday, June 29, 2024.

Where is UFC 303?

  • UFC 303 is broadcasted live from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.

What time does UFC 303 start?

  • UFC 303 Early Prelims Start Time: 6 p.m. ET
  • UFC 303 Preliminary Card Start Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • UFC 303 Main Card Start Time: 10 p.m. ET

How to Watch UFC 303

  • UFC 303 Early Prelims Channel: ESPN+, ESPN
  • UFC 303 Preliminary Card Channel: ESPN+, PPV
  • UFC 303 Main Card Channel: ESPN+, PPV

How to Bet on UFC 303

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