Guardians vs Yankees MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (8/21)

On Tuesday, the Cleveland Guardians (73-52) and New York Yankees (73-53), two leading teams in the American League, will face off in the Bronx. If you’re interested in betting on today’s Guardians vs. Yankees game, you’re in the right place.

Let’s stop wasting time, and get into my predictions and top MLB betting picks for tonight’s showdown.

2024 MLB Betting Picks Record: 76-90-1 (45.8%)

MLB Betting Today: Guardians vs Yankees (8/21)

Guardians vs Yankees Game Information

  • Matchup: Cleveland Guardians (73-52, 35-32 Away) vs. New York Yankees (73-53, 32-28 Home)
  • Venue & Location: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, NY)
  • Date: Wednesday, Aug. 21, 2024
  • Game Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch Guardians vs. Yankees: MLB.TV, Fubo, Prime Video

Guardians vs Yankees MLB Probable Pitchers

  • Guardians: Joey Cantillo (3 starts — 0-2, 6.23 ERA)
  • Yankees: Nestor Cortes (25 starts — 6-10, 4.20 ERA)

Yankees vs Guardians MLB Odds & Spread

Yankees vs. Guardians MLB odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Wednesday, Aug. 21 at 11:15 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Guardians vs Yankees Run Line

  • Cleveland Guardians +1.5 (-128)
  • New York Yankees -1.5 (+108)

Yankees vs Guardians Over/Under

  • Over 8 Runs (-120)
  • Under 8 Runs (+100)

Guardians vs Yankees Moneyline

  • Cleveland Guardians (+169)
  • New York Yankees (-185)

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Guardians vs Yankees MLB Betting Trends

  • In its last 20 games as the underdog, Cleveland has a straight-up record of 6-14.
  • In their last 12 games against Cleveland, the Yankees have a straight-up record of 8-4.
  • In four of Cleveland’s last six games, the total hit the Under.
  • The Over was hit in five of the last six home games of the Yankees.
  • The Under was hit in eight of the last 12 matches between the Guardians and the Yankees.

Guardians vs Yankees Predictions & MLB Picks Today (8/21)

This week’s series began with The Guardians securing a 9-5 victory over the Yankees last night. The teams required three additional innings to determine the winner, resulting in a massive score of six runs by Cleveland in the 12th inning. This marked their 73rd win of the 2024 season.

The recent win also signifies the conclusion of a three-game losing streak for the Guardians. However, with a score of only 6-10 SU in their last 16 games and only one instance of consecutive road game victories since the start of August, it’s uncertain whether Cleveland’s latest win was a fluke.

Conversely, the Yankees seem to be on a downward trend. After an impressive streak of 13-5 SU from July 27 to Aug 16, the Bronx Bombers have now suffered three consecutive defeats, being outscored 16-7 in total. This underlines the necessity for enhancement in both offensive and defensive plays.

Wednesday seems to be a fortunate day for New York, particularly for the Yankees. They have a record of 13 wins and 5 losses in their last 18 Wednesday games. On the other hand, the Guardians have not been as successful, with a record of just 2 wins and 5 losses in their last seven Wednesday matches.

Things haven’t gone well for the Guardians in their recent Wednesday matchups. 

Another favorable statistic for the Yankees is their 8-4 straight-up record in their last 12 encounters with the Guardians. Furthermore, the Yankees have triumphed over Cleveland in seven out of their last 10 matchups at Yankee Stadium.

Let’s see if the trend persists as the Yankees’ LHP Nestor Cortes takes the starting position. After a rough period that lasted a month, Cortes bounced back against the Chicago White Sox last week, dismissing nine hitters over seven innings without giving up a run, resulting in a 4-1 win for New York. However, it should be highlighted that he has also conceded 12 earned runs on 17 hits in his last nine innings at Yankee Stadium.

On the other hand, the Guardians are giving rookie left-handed pitcher Joey Cantillo a chance. The 16th pick from the 2017 draft is off to a rocky start in his Major League Baseball career, with an 0-2 record and a high 6.23 ERA in his initial three starts. Furthermore, he’s given up four home runs in only 13 innings, a potential issue against a Yankees team that ranks second in the MLB for average home runs per game.

Will veteran LHP Nestor Cortes lead the Yankees to victory? 

Tonight, we’re taking the Yankees to beat the Guardians. New York is hungry for revenge and a juicy opportunity is on the horizon based on Cantillo’s early struggles. Both teams are capable of winning, however, the Yankees clearly know how to beat the Guardians at home and I fully expect that trend to resume this evening.

With that in mind, I fully expect the 8-run total to be surpassed. For starters, the Over is an impressive 5-1 across New York’s last six home games (12.2 total runs per game). The Over is also 3-0 in the last three Guardians-Yankees matchups as the AL juggernauts averaged 13.0 total runs in those contests and just combined for 14 less than 24 hours ago.

Given the unpredictable nature of Cantillo and Cortes’ performances, it wouldn’t surprise me if we witness some fireworks in the Bronx tonight.

Guardians vs. Yankees MLB Prediction: NYY wins

Best Guardians vs. Yankees Bet: o8 Total Runs (-120)

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Best Guardians vs Yankees MLB Player Prop (8/21)

If we’re expecting a ton of runs tonight, it’s a no-brainer to back an anytime Aaron Judge home run (+150) as the best Guardians vs. Yankees player prop.

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Going into tonight’s clash, Judge leads the MLB with 45 home runs and his bat seems relentless. The six-time MLB All-Star has accumulated four home runs and a batting average of .452 in his previous eight games (31 at-bats). He recently hit a home run against the Guardians last night. Indeed, he has now hit a homerun in consecutive games against Cleveland.

If you’re still not convinced, consider that Judge has collected 12 HRs in 102 ABs when facing left-handed starters. Given Cantillo’s tendency to give up a home run approximately every four innings, it’s clear why this prop bet is highly appealing.

Best Guardians vs. Yankees MLB Prop Bet: Aaron Judge Home Run  (+150)

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