Rockies @ Reds: MLB Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (7/11)

It’s Friday Junior (Thursday), and we’ve got 4 baseball games on this beautiful afternoon. We’re taking a trip down to Great America Ballpark for this one, we’ve got the Rockies taking on the Reds after a narrow victory last night..

Here are our best bets for the Rockies vs. Reds!

  • Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+145) BetOnline
  • Cincinnati Reds TT o4.5 (-130) BetOnline
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Rockies @ Reds Game Information

Sam Hilliard hit two home runs and recorded 3 RBI to help propel the Rockies to a win in Great America Ballpark.

Matchup Information

  • Location: Great America Ballpark; Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Date: Thursday, July 11th, 2024
  • First Pitch: 1:10 PM EST

Pitching Matchup

  • Colorado Rockies: Austin Gomber (2-54.47 ERA)
  • Cincinnati Reds: Hunter Greene (543.45 ERA)

Betting Odds

Odds via BetOnline, an industry leader in the sports betting world.

Run Line

  • Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-125)
  • Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+105)

Money Line

  • Colorado Rockies (+175)
  • Cincinnati Reds (-192)

Total

  • Over 9 (-105)
  • Under 9 (-115)

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Rockies @ Reds Analysis & Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz tops the MLB this year with 45 stolen bases, followed by Brice Turang from the Brewers with 29.

The Reds and Rockies have not been elite by any metric this year. Cincinnati enters this game 5 games below 0.500 and sitting 5th in the NL Central. 

The Rockies’ performance has not improved, as they currently stand at 33-60 and are also at the bottom of their division. So far this season, Colorado and Cincinnati have faced each other six times, with the Reds emerging victorious in five out of the six encounters.

Colorado’s lone win came last night, despite a late rally by the Reds that fell short in the top of the 9th inning. The Rockies will have left handed turkey tosser, Austin Gomber on the mound.

Unlike most of the Rockies’ starters, Gomber’s numbers actually get worse outside of Coors Field. He’s got a 5.44 road ERA and he’s given up 5+ hits in 9 of his L10 starts, all this season.

The Reds are set to focus on Hunter Greene for study. With a 3.45 ERA and having allowed 9 home runs this year, Greene has nonetheless shown remarkable talent in striking out his opponents.

The Rockies, who have the 4th highest strikeout rate in the league, could face another challenging game tonight with Greene pitching.

Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+145) via BetOnline – Get a $500 WELCOME BONUS 

This season, De La Cruz has a batting average of 0.360 against the Rockies.

Elly De La Dong, what a cool nickname. Cruz is really becoming the stud everyone expecting him to be and maybe even a little more. He’s had his issues seeing the ball, batting just 0.250; but he’s also recorded 15 home runs, 40 RBI, 62 runs scored and 45 stolen bases.

Currently, Elly is the leading player in stolen bases, followed by Brice Turang in second place with a total of 29 stolen bases. Turang has only encountered Gomber once in his career, where he scored 1/3 with a single.

He also has a batting average of 0.360 against the Rockies this year, and 0.405 throughout his 9 career games against them. In 7 of these 9 games, Elly has successfully hit his bases line.

At these odds, with Gomber on the mound, I couldn’t pass it up. I love the Reds bats to get hot tonight, starting with Mr. De La Dong.

Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+145) via BetOnline

Bonus Bet: Elly De La Cruz Home Run (+500)

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Cincinnati Reds  TT o4.5 (-130) via BetOnline – Get a $500 WELCOME BONUS 

The Reds experienced their first defeat to the Rockies in 2024 last night.

It’s become almost a weekly holiday, Fade Austin Gomber Day. If you’re reading this, you must also be a devout follower of Mr. Gomber.

I talked about how he’s been bad on the road, about how he’s given up countless home runs; but usually Rockies pitchers do better outside of Colorado. Understandably with the way Coors Field is geared to favour hitters, coupled with the weather and atmospheric pressure; it’s my favorite park for a reason.

Gomber’s been bad away from home, but he’s been really bad at Great America Ballpark. He’s got just one start with the Rockies at this park, and it came last season.

Gomber pitched for 5.1 innings, surrendering 5 hits, 5 runs and 3 home runs. The Reds’ lineup in the last season was so poor that Joey Votto still held a regular starting position at that time.

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Cincinnati Reds TT o4.5 (-130) via BetOnline

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To Recap, MLB Betting Insights for July 11th, 2024:

In the Rockies vs. Reds game today, we’re rolling with two plays. Reds TT o4.5 (-130) via BetOnline and we’re rolling with  Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (-120) via BetOnline.

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