Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction & Best Bets (5/30): Pivetta the Pick to Prevail Tonight

Today’s eight-game MLB schedule features an intriguing matchup as the Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox kick off a four-game series (7:10 pm ET, NESN). Both teams aim to end a mixed month on a high note.

As May begins, both the Tigers and Red Sox hold a decent record of 17-13. But regardless of the outcomes in the following two days, this month will result in a loss for both teams.

After splitting two games with the Pittsburgh Pirates yesterday, Detroit (27-28) has a 10-15 record for May. On the other hand, Boston (28-28) stands at 11-15 for the month following a 6-1 defeat to Corbin Burnes and the Baltimore Orioles yesterday.

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Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Odds

Odds are via BetOnline, a longtime fixture in the sports betting industry. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then grab yourself a nice sign-up bonus to bet on Major League Baseball.

Moneyline

  • Detroit Tigers +106
  • Boston Red Sox -116

Over/Under

  • Over 7.5 (+105)
  • Under 7.5 (-125)

Run Line

  • Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-205)
  • Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+175)

Looking for more baseball picks? Our MLB picks page features moneyline, total (over/under), and run line (spread) picks for every MLB game on the schedule each day.

Pitching Matchup for Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox

  • Jack Flaherty, RHP for the Detroit Tigers, has a record of 1-4, an ERA of 3.84, and has made 10 starts.
  • Right-handed pitcher Nick Pivetta of the Boston Red Sox has made 6 starts, has a 2-3 record, and a 4.20 ERA.

Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Betting Analysis

Today, my preferred MLB bet originates from the afternoon game in Milwaukee. The Brewers are expected to provide substantial run support to Colin Rea, as they have done before, and score more than 3.5 runs against Jameson Taillon and the Cubs.

However, tonight’s match at Fenway Park is a close second, as there is a trend that highly favors the home team.

The identical 13-14 records of both teams in games following a loss indicates that this trend is not the cause.

The trend doesn’t involve either the Tigers’ 8-12 record as a road underdog or the Red Sox’s 8-13 record as a home favorite.

What is the trend?

Pivetta had his briefest start of the season last Saturday, lasting only 3.1 innings in Boston’s 6-3 defeat at home to the Brewers. During those 3.1 innings, he surrendered seven hits, five runs and three walks.

It is unlikely that there will be a repeat performance, and even less likely for a repeat result.

Pivetta, who joined the Red Sox in 2020, has now conceded five or more runs in a game on 14 occasions out of his 85 starts. Following these starts, the Red Sox have managed a record of 9-4. This includes a victory against the Tampa Baya Rays on May 14, which came after Pivetta had allowed five runs in four innings, leading to a loss against the Atlanta Braves on May 8.

Though I am rooting for the Red Sox to secure tonight’s victory, I am also expecting Flaherty to keep accumulating strikeouts. After two consecutive games with nine strikeouts, Flaherty is likely to aim for a third, especially against a team that averages 9.63 strikeouts per game.

Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Best Bets

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction: Red Sox to win

Tigers vs Red Sox Best Bets: 1) Red Sox ML, 2) Jack Flaherty over 7.5 strikeouts (+120 at Bovada)

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More MLB Betting Information

How to Bet on Major League Baseball in 2024

Numerous betting methods exist for Major League Baseball, similar to the NFL, NBA, and NHL. The primary methods include moneyline and spread betting, alongside over/under betting.

Futures bets (like Cy Young odds) and prop bets (like strikeout props and batting props) are also one of the most popular ways to bet on the action on the diamond.

Where to Bet on MLB

Many top online sportsbooks offer a wide variety of MLB odds throughout the season.

In addition to being able to make daily MLB picks on games from Opening Day until the final game of the Fall Classic, you can also bet on MLB MVP odds, Cy Young Award odds, and MLB Rookie of the Year odds, as well as World Series odds.

Numerous sportsbooks are suitable for baseball betting, but the following are some we have evaluated and strongly recommend:

  • BetDSI (Review)
  • BetOnline (Review)
  • BetUS (Review)
  • Bovada (Review)
  • Everygame (Review)
  • MyBookie (Review)

If you don’t have an account with any book on this list, consider our reviews to understand whether it’s worth your interest and betting funds.

Interested in Learning More About Betting on Baseball?

If you are new to baseball betting or wish to learn more about the intricacies of placing MLB bets, take a look at our MLB betting guide.

  • MLB Betting Guide: How to Bet on Baseball in 2024

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