Mercury vs Sun Prediction & Picks (5/28): Eye the Over

This evening, the only undefeated team still standing in the WNBA aims to extend their successful season start. A potentially high-scoring face-off is expected at Mohegan Sun Arena, as DeWanna Bonner, Alyssa Thomas and the Connecticut Sun take on Diana Taurasi, Kahleah Copper and the Phoenix Mercury. The game will be broadcast at 7:00 pm ET on CBS Sports Network.

The Sun (5-0) have managed to win their last four games by a total of 15 points following their season opener victory over the Indiana Fever by 21 points. This winning streak includes a recent 86-82 road win over the Chicago Sky on Saturday, where Connecticut successfully overcame an eight-point halftime deficit.

The Sun’s success in close games could be extremely beneficial against teams like the New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces, as well as in the postseason. Currently, this success has positioned the Sun at the top of the WNBA standings, ahead of the Minnesota Lynx (4-1) and the Aces (3-1).

The Mercury, with a 3-2 record, have begun on a positive note despite their 15-point home defeat to the Dallas Wings on Saturday, where they conceded 107 points. Kahleah Copper and Diana Taurasi collectively scored 60 points, with Copper contributing 32 points and Taurasi 28. However, Dallas secured the win primarily due to an outstanding performance by Arike Ogunbowale, who amassed 40 points, seven rebounds, and four assists.

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Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Odds

Odds are courtesy of BetOnline, a longtime fixture among the top online sports betting sites. Check out our BetOnline sportsbook review, then bag a big bonus (100% if your first deposit is with Bitcoin, Ethereum, or another cryptocurrency) to bet on today’s WNBA games.

Spread

  • Phoenix Mercury +8 (-110)
  • Connecticut Sun -8 (-110)

Over/Under

  • Over 167.5 (-120)
  • Under 167.5 (+100)

Moneyline

  • Phoenix Mercury +280
  • Connecticut Sun -350

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Betting Analysis

The Mercury ended up at the bottom of the WNBA in terms of scoring last season, with an average of 76.6 points per game.

Phoenix ranks third in WNBA scoring this season, with an average of 88.2 points per game over five games. Despite the absence of Brittney Griner, they have managed to score at least 80 points in every game so far. This is already an improvement from their best streak of reaching this score in the previous season.

Phoenix’s offensive leap is powered by their proficiency and productivity from outside. They top the league with an average of 12.2 successful three-point shots per game and rank second in outside shooting with a 38.1% success rate, only marginally behind Minnesota’s 38.6%.

Similar to the Mercury, the Sun has also achieved over 80 points in each of their five matches this season. They are positioned fourth in the WNBA for scoring, with an average of 86.6 points per game. This is noteworthy considering they are the league’s least effective three-point shooting team, with a success rate of only 29.5%. Remarkably, all other teams in the league have a shooting percentage of over 30.0% from the three-point line.

Despite their poor perimeter shooting, Connecticut is thriving due to their impressive 50.4% success rate on two-point shots. They also consistently make a good percentage of their foul shots, coupled with their frequent trips to the line.

Given the offensive performance of both teams, anticipate a high scoring matchup. The most probable spread outcome would be a cover by the Sun.

Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Prediction & Picks

Mercury vs Sun Prediction: Sun to win

Mercury vs Sun Picks: 1) Sun -8, 2) Mercury vs Sun over 167.5, 3) Kahleah Copper over 2.5 made threes (-115 at Bovada), 4) Natasha Cloud over 23.5 points + rebounds + assists (-130 at Bovada)

Despite Copper’s impressive 4 of 7 three-pointers in Saturday’s defeat to the Wings, the betting odds have not been updated to account for her strong shooting performance. Plan your bets accordingly.

Cloud also had a similar performance against the Wings, scoring nine points, four rebounds, and twelve assists. So far this season, his P + R + A stats are 29, 14, 28, 29, and 25 respectively. Continue favoring the over, unless there is a change.

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Other WNBA Betting Information

Where to Bet on the WNBA This Season

The increasing popularity of the WNBA and women’s basketball means that this season, you will find WNBA odds at numerous sportsbooks.

Besides providing odds for each scheduled game, numerous sportsbooks also present a range of WNBA futures odds. These include odds for the championship winner, WNBA MVP, total wins, and more.

There are plenty of sports betting sites you can choose from that are good for WNBA betting. In addition to BetOnline, here are several books that we have reviewed and highly recommend:

  • BetDSI (review)
  • BetUS (review)
  • Bookmaker (review)
  • Bovada (review)
  • MyBookie (review)
  • Sportsbetting.ag (review)

What if you aren’t registered with any book on this list? Go through our reviews to ascertain whether it’s worth your interest and betting funds.

Interested in Learning More About WNBA Betting?

Looking to learn more about the ins and outs of betting on the WNBA? Check out our WNBA betting guide. Also, if you’d like to learn more about betting on WNBA player prop bets, our NBA player props guide is a handy resource to utilize.

Did you find this betting breakdown for Mercury vs Sun enjoyable? We’ll have a wealth of content focused on the WNBA this season. Make sure to bookmark our site to stay updated and not miss any exciting content we’ve planned.

Also, stay updated with Betting News on platforms like X/Twitter, Twitch, and TikTok. You can gain additional WNBA betting insights from me and our entire team on these channels.

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