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After an MMA-less weekend, the Ultimate Fighting Championship is back in a big way with UFC 302 this weekend. It’s going to be an exciting Saturday night in New Jersey as UFC enthusiasts are treated to a massive card that’ll be headlined by a lightweight championship bout between Islam Makhachev and Dustin Poirier.
Newark, we have arrived #UFC302 fight week is HERE!
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— UFC (@ufc) May 27, 2024
With another fight-filled weekend upon us, Betting News is here to help you get the most out of your MMA betting experience. Buckle up as we dive into my UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier preview as we look at the latest full card odds and trends, as well as my preliminary predictions and best bets.
UFC 302 Main Card Fights & Odds
All UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier odds are courtesy of BetOnline as of Monday, May 27 at 12:12 p.m.
UFC 302 Main event: Islam Makhachev (c) vs. Dustin Poirier — Lightweight
- Record: Islam Makhachev (25-1) vs. Dustin Poirier (30-8, 1 NC)
- Moneyline: Islam Makhachev (-700) | Dustin Poirier (+500)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (+135) | Under (-165)
- Most likely method of victory: Makhachev via Submission (-115)
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UFC 302 Co-Main Event: Sean Strickland vs. Paulo Costa — Middleweight
- Record: Sean Strickland (28-6) vs. Paulo Costa (14-3)
- Moneyline: Sean Strickland (-240) | Paulo Costa (+205)
- Round total: 4.5 — Over (+110) | Under (-140)
- Most likely method of victory: Strickland via KO/TKO (+140)
Kevin Holland vs. Michał Oleksiejczuk — Middleweight
- Record: Kevin Holland (25-11, 1 NC) vs. Michał Oleksiejczuk (19-7, 1 NC)
- Moneyline: Kevin Holland (-275) | Michał Oleksiejczuk (+235)
- Round total: 1.5 — Over (-165) | Under (+135)
- Most likely method of victory: Holland via KO/TKO or Submission (+265)
Jailton Almeida vs. Alexander Romanov — Heavyweight
- Record: Jailton Almeida (20-3) vs. Alexander Romanov (17-2)
- Moneyline: Jailton Almeida (-255) | Alexander Romanov (+215)
- Round total: 1.5 — Over (-135) | Under (+105)
- Most likely method of victory: Almeida via Submission (+135)
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Randy Brown vs. Elizeu Zaleski — Welterweight
- Record: Randy Brown (18-5) vs. Elizeu Zaleski (24-7-1)
- Moneyline: Randy Brown (-161) | Elizeu Zaleski (+141)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (-165) | Under (+135)
- Most likely method of victory: Brown via Points (+170)
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UFC 302 Preliminary & Early Prelim Card Odds & Picks
UFC Vegas 92 Prelim Fight Record: 6-1
UFC Vegas 92 Prelim Best Bet Record: 2-5
César Almeida vs. Roman Kopylov — Middleweight
- Record: César Almeida (5-0) vs. Roman Kopylov (12-3)
- Moneyline: César Almeida (-106) | Roman Kopylov (-114)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (+100) | Under (-130)
Just last month, world-class kickboxer César Almeida made his UFC debut, securing a TKO win over Dylan Budka. On the other hand, Roman Kopylov is hoping for a turnaround after his four-fight winning streak came to an end in February with a submission loss to Anthony Hernandez.
In a fight that could go either way, I’m taking Kopylov to win. Yes, Almeida is undefeated, but Kopylov has more MMA experience, which includes four knockout wins at the UFC level. I see these middleweights trading shots throughout the three rounds before Kopylov finds an opening to win.
Almeida vs. Kopylov Prediction: Roman Kopylov
Almeida vs. Kopylov Best Bet: Kopylov ML (-114)
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Grant Dawson vs. Joe Solecki — Lightweight
- Record: Grant Dawson (20-2-1) vs. Joe Solecki (13-4)
- Moneyline: Grant Dawson (-450) | Joe Solecki (+350)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (-200) | Under (+160)
Grant Dawson and Joe Solecki could both use a win as they come off knockout losses in their last respective outings. While neither man has experienced consecutive defeats, I’m going with Dawson to emerge victorious this weekend.
Solecki is undoubtedly a sturdy fighter, yet his record stands at 2-2 in his most recent four fights. In contrast, Dawson had an unbeaten streak of 12 fights prior to his last match. Additionally, Dawson carries a size and experience advantage and has a superior ground-and-pound game, which could potentially lead to a finish if the fight goes to the ground.
That being said, Solecki usually does well to avoid being finished, so expect Dawson to secure a victory through decision.
Dawson vs. Solecki Prediction: Grant Dawson
Dawson vs. Solecki Best Bet: Dawson via Points (-110)
Philip Rowe vs. Jake Matthews — Welterweight
- Record: Philip Rowe (10-4) vs. Jake Matthews (19-7)
- Moneyline: Philip Rowe (+140) | Jake Matthews (-160)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (-150) | Under (+120)
Jake Matthews might be the favored fighter in this welterweight match, but I’m uncertain about placing my trust in him over Philip Rowe. Matthews’ track record hasn’t been consistent for years, with just two wins in his last five fights. On the other hand, Rowe had an impressive streak of knocking out three opponents in a row before losing to Neil Magny by a split decision last June.
Due to Matthews’ inconsistencies, I’m going with a Rowe upset this weekend. The Brooklyn, NY native has fought well since making his UFC debut while his opponent’s recent history proves that the door is open for an upset.
Rowe vs. Matthews Prediction: Philip Rowe
Rowe vs. Matthews Best Bet: Rowe ML (+140)
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Niko Price vs. Alex Morono — Welterweight
- Record: Niko Price (15-7, 2 NC) vs. Alex Morono (24-9, 1 NC)
- Moneyline: Niko Price (+185) | Alex Morono (-220)
- Round total: 1.5 — Over (-180) | Under (+150)
I won’t overanalyze the UFC 302 match. Niko Price’s performance has been disappointing in recent years, with a record of 1-4 and a no-contest in his last five fights. On the other hand, Alex Morono has a solid track record, achieving 6-2 in his past eight bouts and holding a 7-2-1 record when favored.
Given that Price has been knocked out or technically knocked out five times in his last 10 fights, it’s likely that Morono will secure a win before the full duration of the match.
Price vs. Morono Prediction: Alex Morono
Price vs. Morono Best Bet: Morono inside the distance (+105)
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Mickey Gall vs. Bassil Hafez — Welterweight
- Record: Mickey Gall (7-5) vs. Bassil Hafez (8-4-1)
- Moneyline: Mickey Gall (+245) | Bassil Hafez (-285)
- Round total: 1.5 — Over (-185) | Under (+155)
Despite starting his MMA career with a 4-0 streak, Mickey Gall has only won three out of his last eight bouts and has not fought for over two years since his knockout by Mike Malott. On the other hand, Bassil Hafez, despite losing to Jack Della Maddalena in his UFC debut, is who I’m leaning towards this weekend. I believe his eagerness to demonstrate his worth in the top MMA company will drive him to perform better.
Hafez is known for his grappling, but Gall is a pretty solid wrestler himself. With that in mind, I see Hafez winning this one via points.
Gall vs. Hafez Prediction: Bassil Hafez
Gall vs. Hafez Best Bet: Hafez via Points (TBD)
Ailín Pérez vs. Joselyne Edwards — Women’s Bantamweight
- Record: Ailín Pérez (9-2) vs. Joselyne Edwards (13-5)
- Moneyline: Ailín Pérez (-195) | Joselyne Edwards (+170)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (-350) | Under (+275)
When it comes to this weekend’s sole women’s fight, I like Ailín Pérez’s chances of extending her winning streak. She’s now 2-0 since making her bantamweight return, bringing her weight class record to 8-1. Pérez now gets to go up against Joselyne Edwards, who dropped to 3-3 in her last six fights with a loss to Nora Cornolle.
Edwards, with his extensive experience, knows how to evade a defeat, implying that Pérez would probably have to play the full game to secure a victory.
Pérez vs. Edwards Prediction: Ailín Pérez
Pérez vs. Edwards Best Bet: Pérez via Points (TBD)
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André Lima vs. Mitch Raposo — Flyweight
- Record: André Lima (8-0) vs. Mitch Raposo (9-1)
- Moneyline: André Lima (-237) | Mitch Raposo (+202)
- Round total: 2.5 — Over (-155) | Under (+125)
Here, UFC enthusiasts can anticipate a fierce flyweight clash. Mitch Raposo is entering the ring for the first time, with seven victories out of his initial 10 MMA fights under his belt. Meanwhile, André Lima looks to maintain his flawless record, coming fresh off a victory over Igor de Silva just two months prior, a match he won through disqualification.
Raposo has a solid record, but we already saw him lose on The Ultimate Fighter: Season 29 and Dana White’s Contender Series 2021. He just isn’t suited for the UFC level and I wouldn’t be surprised if he has his hands full with Lima, who has four first-round knocks under his belt.
Raposo may put up a fight, but I fully expect Lima to end this one with a knockout blow.
Lima vs. Raposo Prediction: André Lima
Lima vs. Raposo Best Bet: Lima via KO/TKO (TBD)
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UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier Information & FAQ
When is UFC 302?
- The UFC 302 event is scheduled for Saturday, June 1, 2024.
Where is UFC 302?
- UFC 302 is broadcasted live from the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ.
What time does UFC 302 start?
- UFC 302 Early Prelims Start Time: 6:15 p.m. ET
- UFC 302 Preliminary Card Start Time: 8 p.m. ET
- UFC 302 Main Card Start Time: 10 p.m. ET
How to Watch UFC 302
- UFC 302 Early Prelims Channel: ESPN+
- UFC 302 Preliminary Card Channel: ESPN+, ESPN2
- UFC 302 Main Card Channel: ESPN+, PPV
How to Bet on UFC 302
- All of the top online sports betting sites will have UFC 302 odds, but here are some of the sites we recommend most for UFC betting enthusiasts.
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