Happy Tuesday!
Today, two exceptional plays stand out with a strong team lineup going against a struggling pitcher, and a highly-ranked batter seeking to rebound against a susceptible arm. Have faith in the statistics and the patterns—these opportunities are too good to ignore.
Top MLB Prop Bets for Tuesday’s Slate
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Yesterday’s write up went 0-4 (-4.0).
New day. New Vibes
Brent Rooker Over 1.5 Total Bases (+116)
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Brent Rooker, Athletics’ Latest Dad, Is Hitting the Ball Extremely Hard
The Stank:
Indeed, I’m returning to Papa Rooker. He’s back amongst the top five hitters on Batters-Box.com. Despite a 0-for-4 night, he still ranks second on Monday’s list, which makes me very pleased to continue supporting Mr. Rooker.
Small step down in the top 10 for HRR and TB yesterday
• 7 got 1+ hit
• 5 over 1.5 hits runs RBI
• 4 over 1.5 total bases400+ FREE #MLB hitter ratings and more at https://t.co/ES7zRUE7pP
You don’t wanna miss these trends for Ohtani and other players in today’s top 10… pic.twitter.com/VIDGfGrTfG
— Mike Montgomery (@MikeMonty22) August 20, 2024
He’s facing Rays starter Shane Baz, who, according to Batters-Box.com, has allowed the most hard contact over the last three seasons among today’s starters. Baz is currently posting a 4.21 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP this season.
Rooker’s performance is exceptional when he has a top-tier rating. He achieves at least one hit in 76.19% of games, exceeds 1.5 total bases in 57.14% of games, and scores a home run in 26.19% of these games.
I have faith in the trends, the rating, and above all, the strength of a father.
Sprinkle of the Day:
- Brent Rooker Home Run (+490)
Diamondbacks First Five Team Total Over 1.5 (-154) 2 Unit Play
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The Stank:
MISPRICE ALERT!!
I’ll take this play ten times out of ten. The Arizona Diamondbacks enter today with six elite-rated hitters, according to the current season ratings on Batters-Box.com. They also have the highest average hitter matchup rating, with the entire team graded as elite.
Edward Cabrera, the starting pitcher for the Marlins, currently has the lowest pitcher rating this season. He also has the third highest average hard contact rate to batters, at 45.85%. Cabrera’s ERA for the season is 5.76 with a WHIP of 1.50. Furthermore, in 10 out of his 13 starts, the opposing teams have scored more than two runs.
Arizona is the best team in the league at scoring in the first five innings, averaging 2.98 runs per game, including 2.71 runs on the road. Miami, on the other hand, allows the second-most runs to opponents, giving up 3.17 runs at home—well above 1.5 runs.
Trust the process.
Diamondbacks team total over 1.5 runs in the first five.
Where to find more Advanced Analytics
Batters-Box.com is my preferred site for finding the top matchup ratings for my daily MLB bets. While it may not be the ultimate source, it consistently serves as an excellent launchpad for your daily baseball wagering. I experienced an increase of 98 units last season courtesy of Batters-Box.com. Skeptical? Take a look at my Action profile @cmarchio.
Small step down in the top 10 for HRR and TB yesterday
• 7 got 1+ hit
• 5 over 1.5 hits runs RBI
• 4 over 1.5 total bases400+ FREE #MLB hitter ratings and more at https://t.co/ES7zRUE7pP
You don’t wanna miss these trends for Ohtani and other players in today’s top 10… pic.twitter.com/VIDGfGrTfG
— Mike Montgomery (@MikeMonty22) August 20, 2024
I utilize FanGraphs, Statmuse, and ESPN to gather other statistics that assist me in determining whether a player is worthy of my time.
Good luck this season you psychos!
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